With all 35 entries for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 now unveiled after a intense slate of national finals through February and March—including recent song releases from Armenia, Czechia, Georgia, and Switzerland—trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nordic frontrunners, with Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Lampenius & Parkkonen leading bookie odds at 28% implied win probability due to its electropop energy and UMK landslide victory. France, Denmark, Greece, and Australia trail closely, bolstered by established artists like Delta Goodrem and strong jury-televote splits, amid Israel's televote favoritism despite boycotts shrinking the field to 35 nations. Staging previews and Vienna rehearsals from April will be pivotal swing factors before semis on May 12 and 14.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Eurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$31,533 Vol.
Finland
82%
Israel
55%
Greece
59%
Denmark
59%
France
59%
Australia
54%
Sweden
41%
Ukraine
37%
Romania
27%
Italy
34%
Malta
21%
Czechia
18%
Serbia
11%
Cyprus
17%
Moldova
15%
Germany
14%
Georgia
13%
Norway
13%
Armenia
13%
Croatia
12%
Montenegro
11%
Poland
11%
United Kingdom
10%
Austria
10%
Albania
9%
San Marino
9%
Belgium
9%
Luxembourg
9%
Azerbaijan
8%
Estonia
8%
Portugal
8%
Latvia
8%
Switzerland
11%
Lithuania
11%
Bulgaria
15%
$31,533 Vol.
Finland
82%
Israel
55%
Greece
59%
Denmark
59%
France
59%
Australia
54%
Sweden
41%
Ukraine
37%
Romania
27%
Italy
34%
Malta
21%
Czechia
18%
Serbia
11%
Cyprus
17%
Moldova
15%
Germany
14%
Georgia
13%
Norway
13%
Armenia
13%
Croatia
12%
Montenegro
11%
Poland
11%
United Kingdom
10%
Austria
10%
Albania
9%
San Marino
9%
Belgium
9%
Luxembourg
9%
Azerbaijan
8%
Estonia
8%
Portugal
8%
Latvia
8%
Switzerland
11%
Lithuania
11%
Bulgaria
15%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With all 35 entries for Eurovision Song Contest 2026 now unveiled after a intense slate of national finals through February and March—including recent song releases from Armenia, Czechia, Georgia, and Switzerland—trader consensus on Polymarket favors Nordic frontrunners, with Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Lampenius & Parkkonen leading bookie odds at 28% implied win probability due to its electropop energy and UMK landslide victory. France, Denmark, Greece, and Australia trail closely, bolstered by established artists like Delta Goodrem and strong jury-televote splits, amid Israel's televote favoritism despite boycotts shrinking the field to 35 nations. Staging previews and Vienna rehearsals from April will be pivotal swing factors before semis on May 12 and 14.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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