With all 35 national selections complete by mid-March, Eurovision 2026 traders are pricing in frontrunner status for Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, propelled by strong prediction models like The Model and surging betting odds that highlight its jury appeal and staging potential. Denmark's "Før Vi Går Hjem" and France follow closely in implied probabilities for top 5 finishes, buoyed by powerhouse national final wins and historical Nordic voting blocs, while Greece's viral "Ferto" by Akylas emerges as a televote sleeper amid diaspora buzz. Recent catalysts include song releases sparking fan polls and pre-party hype, with opening acts unveiled March 19 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. Watch first rehearsals and Eurovision in Concert for momentum shifts ahead of semis May 12-14 and final May 16, as jury-public splits and live performances could upend the crowd wisdom.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Eurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$33,831 Vol.

Finland
82%

Greece
59%

Denmark
59%

Israel
58%

France
57%

Australia
54%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
38%

Romania
31%

Italy
33%

Malta
21%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
17%

Bulgaria
16%

Moldova
15%

Armenia
15%

Croatia
14%

Georgia
14%

Germany
13%

Norway
13%

Montenegro
12%

Poland
11%

Austria
11%

Serbia
11%

Albania
10%

United Kingdom
10%

San Marino
10%

Luxembourg
10%

Latvia
9%

Belgium
9%

Portugal
8%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Switzerland
11%

Lithuania
12%
$33,831 Vol.

Finland
82%

Greece
59%

Denmark
59%

Israel
58%

France
57%

Australia
54%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
38%

Romania
31%

Italy
33%

Malta
21%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
17%

Bulgaria
16%

Moldova
15%

Armenia
15%

Croatia
14%

Georgia
14%

Germany
13%

Norway
13%

Montenegro
12%

Poland
11%

Austria
11%

Serbia
11%

Albania
10%

United Kingdom
10%

San Marino
10%

Luxembourg
10%

Latvia
9%

Belgium
9%

Portugal
8%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Switzerland
11%

Lithuania
12%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With all 35 national selections complete by mid-March, Eurovision 2026 traders are pricing in frontrunner status for Finland's "Liekinheitin" by violinist Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen, propelled by strong prediction models like The Model and surging betting odds that highlight its jury appeal and staging potential. Denmark's "Før Vi Går Hjem" and France follow closely in implied probabilities for top 5 finishes, buoyed by powerhouse national final wins and historical Nordic voting blocs, while Greece's viral "Ferto" by Akylas emerges as a televote sleeper amid diaspora buzz. Recent catalysts include song releases sparking fan polls and pre-party hype, with opening acts unveiled March 19 at Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle. Watch first rehearsals and Eurovision in Concert for momentum shifts ahead of semis May 12-14 and final May 16, as jury-public splits and live performances could upend the crowd wisdom.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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