Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84% implied probability to Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen securing a top 5 finish at Eurovision 2026, propelled by rave previews from the Nordic Eurovision Party and its complete package of melody, staging, and bilingual appeal following UMK victory. Greece ("Ferto"), France ("Regarde"), Denmark ("Før vi går hjem"), and Israel ("Michelle") hover at 60-64%, reflecting strong national final momentum and jury-televote balance, while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") surges on star power. Amid 35 entrants post-boycotts by five nations, Vienna rehearsals and May 12/14 semi-finals loom as key catalysts for shifts in this volatile contest landscape.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Eurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$31,541 Vol.
May 16, 2026
Finland
82%
Israel
55%
Greece
60%
Denmark
59%
France
59%
Australia
54%
Sweden
41%
Ukraine
37%
Romania
27%
Italy
34%
Malta
21%
Czechia
18%
Cyprus
17%
Moldova
15%
Armenia
15%
Croatia
14%
Germany
14%
Georgia
13%
Norway
13%
Serbia
11%
Montenegro
11%
Poland
11%
Albania
10%
United Kingdom
10%
Austria
10%
San Marino
9%
Luxembourg
9%
Belgium
9%
Latvia
9%
Azerbaijan
8%
Estonia
8%
Portugal
8%
Switzerland
11%
Lithuania
11%
Bulgaria
15%
$31,541 Vol.
Finland
$16,999 Vol.
82%
Israel
$6,325 Vol.
55%
Greece
$0 Vol.
60%
Denmark
$5,722 Vol.
59%
France
$372 Vol.
59%
Australia
$0 Vol.
54%
Sweden
$0 Vol.
41%
Ukraine
$0 Vol.
37%
Romania
$169 Vol.
27%
Italy
$0 Vol.
34%
Malta
$0 Vol.
21%
Czechia
$0 Vol.
18%
Cyprus
$585 Vol.
17%
Moldova
$18 Vol.
15%
Armenia
$134 Vol.
15%
Croatia
$0 Vol.
14%
Germany
$0 Vol.
14%
Georgia
$0 Vol.
13%
Norway
$407 Vol.
13%
Serbia
$151 Vol.
11%
Montenegro
$0 Vol.
11%
Poland
$0 Vol.
11%
Albania
$0 Vol.
10%
United Kingdom
$0 Vol.
10%
Austria
$203 Vol.
10%
San Marino
$0 Vol.
9%
Luxembourg
$135 Vol.
9%
Belgium
$0 Vol.
9%
Latvia
$0 Vol.
9%
Azerbaijan
$0 Vol.
8%
Estonia
$0 Vol.
8%
Portugal
$0 Vol.
8%
Switzerland
$0 Vol.
11%
Lithuania
$196 Vol.
11%
Bulgaria
$124 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84% implied probability to Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen securing a top 5 finish at Eurovision 2026, propelled by rave previews from the Nordic Eurovision Party and its complete package of melody, staging, and bilingual appeal following UMK victory. Greece ("Ferto"), France ("Regarde"), Denmark ("Før vi går hjem"), and Israel ("Michelle") hover at 60-64%, reflecting strong national final momentum and jury-televote balance, while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") surges on star power. Amid 35 entrants post-boycotts by five nations, Vienna rehearsals and May 12/14 semi-finals loom as key catalysts for shifts in this volatile contest landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
マーケット開始日： Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
音量
$31,541終了日
May 16, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84% implied probability to Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen securing a top 5 finish at Eurovision 2026, propelled by rave previews from the Nordic Eurovision Party and its complete package of melody, staging, and bilingual appeal following UMK victory. Greece ("Ferto"), France ("Regarde"), Denmark ("Før vi går hjem"), and Israel ("Michelle") hover at 60-64%, reflecting strong national final momentum and jury-televote balance, while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") surges on star power. Amid 35 entrants post-boycotts by five nations, Vienna rehearsals and May 12/14 semi-finals loom as key catalysts for shifts in this volatile contest landscape.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the named country finishes Eurovision 2026 as one of the top 5 highest scoring candidates.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
音量
$31,541終了日
May 16, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns an 84% implied probability to Finland's "Liekinheitin" by Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen securing a top 5 finish at Eurovision 2026, propelled by rave previews from the Nordic Eurovision Party and its complete package of melody, staging, and bilingual appeal following UMK victory. Greece ("Ferto"), France ("Regarde"), Denmark ("Før vi går hjem"), and Israel ("Michelle") hover at 60-64%, reflecting strong national final momentum and jury-televote balance, while Australia's Delta Goodrem ("Eclipse") surges on star power. Amid 35 entrants post-boycotts by five nations, Vienna rehearsals and May 12/14 semi-finals loom as key catalysts for shifts in this volatile contest landscape.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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