Market icon
政治·報酬200、4.5、50

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月20日〜3月27日？

Market icon
政治·報酬200、4.5、50

イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月20日〜3月27日？

Ended: Mar 27

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

Ended: Mar 27

Mar 31

Apr 3

Apr 7

260〜279 100.0%

20未満 <1%

20〜39 <1%

40～59 <1%

Polymarket

$11,067,939 Vol.

260〜279 100.0%

20未満 <1%

20〜39 <1%

40～59 <1%

Polymarket

$11,067,939 Vol.

20未満

$0 Vol.

いいえ

20〜39

$0 Vol.

いいえ

40～59

$27,536 Vol.

いいえ

60～79

$0 Vol.

いいえ

80～99

$0 Vol.

いいえ

100〜119

$0 Vol.

いいえ

120～139

$0 Vol.

いいえ

140～159

$0 Vol.

いいえ

160～179

$0 Vol.

いいえ

180〜199

$0 Vol.

いいえ

200〜219

$0 Vol.

いいえ

220〜239

$1,366,665 Vol.

いいえ

240〜259

$1,270,080 Vol.

いいえ

260〜279

$1,005,341 Vol.

はい

280～299

$1,004,139 Vol.

いいえ

300〜319

$952,219 Vol.

いいえ

320〜339

$912,694 Vol.

いいえ

340〜359

$692,327 Vol.

いいえ

360〜379

$595,214 Vol.

いいえ

380〜399

$480,942 Vol.

いいえ

400〜419

$397,218 Vol.

いいえ

420〜439

$402,653 Vol.

いいえ

440〜459

$288,380 Vol.

いいえ

460～479

$342,148 Vol.

いいえ

480～499

$374,575 Vol.

いいえ

500～519

$190,718 Vol.

いいえ

520〜539

$190,306 Vol.

いいえ

540～559

$184,858 Vol.

いいえ

560〜579

$140,694 Vol.

いいえ

580以上

$249,234 Vol.

いいえ

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 260-279 tweets for Elon Musk during March 20-27, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his established pattern as X's most prolific user and owner, consistently averaging 35-45 posts per day in recent high-engagement weeks. This range aligns with verified data from the past month, including spikes around Tesla earnings calls, SpaceX milestones, and viral political exchanges that pushed weekly totals into the mid-260s without major outliers. The strong positioning underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in prediction markets, where real-money bets reward accurate historical modeling of his unyielding social media rhythm. Realistic upsets hinge on rare disruptions like a personal health event, extended platform downtime, or self-imposed break—scenarios with scant precedent amid his cultural dominance.

Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 260-279 tweets for Elon Musk during March 20-27, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his established pattern as X's most prolific user and owner, consistently averaging 35-45 posts per day in recent high-engagement weeks. This range aligns with verified data from the past month, including spikes around Tesla earnings calls, SpaceX milestones, and viral political exchanges that pushed weekly totals into the mid-260s without major outliers. The strong positioning underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in prediction markets, where real-money bets reward accurate historical modeling of his unyielding social media rhythm. Realistic upsets hinge on rare disruptions like a personal health event, extended platform downtime, or self-imposed break—scenarios with scant precedent amid his cultural dominance.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 20 12:00 PM ET to March 27, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 260-279 tweets for Elon Musk during March 20-27, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his established pattern as X's most prolific user and owner, consistently averaging 35-45 posts per day in recent high-engagement weeks. This range aligns with verified data from the past month, including spikes around Tesla earnings calls, SpaceX milestones, and viral political exchanges that pushed weekly totals into the mid-260s without major outliers. The strong positioning underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in prediction markets, where real-money bets reward accurate historical modeling of his unyielding social media rhythm. Realistic upsets hinge on rare disruptions like a personal health event, extended platform downtime, or self-imposed break—scenarios with scant precedent amid his cultural dominance.

Trader consensus on Polymarket locks in 260-279 tweets for Elon Musk during March 20-27, 2026, at virtually 100% implied probability, driven by his established pattern as X's most prolific user and owner, consistently averaging 35-45 posts per day in recent high-engagement weeks. This range aligns with verified data from the past month, including spikes around Tesla earnings calls, SpaceX milestones, and viral political exchanges that pushed weekly totals into the mid-260s without major outliers. The strong positioning underscores the "wisdom of crowds" in prediction markets, where real-money bets reward accurate historical modeling of his unyielding social media rhythm. Realistic upsets hinge on rare disruptions like a personal health event, extended platform downtime, or self-imposed break—scenarios with scant precedent amid his cultural dominance.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月20日〜3月27日？」はPolymarket上の30個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「260〜279」で100%、次いで「20未満」が0%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月20日〜3月27日？」は$11.1 millionの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 17, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月20日〜3月27日？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている30個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月20日〜3月27日？」の現在のフロントランナーは「260〜279」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「20未満」で0%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「イーロン・マスク# tweets 2026年3月20日〜3月27日？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。