Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors BTS's "Arirang" first-week album sales falling under 3 million units at 99.6% implied probability, driven by the group's ongoing hiatus amid mandatory military service for all members—only Jin, J-Hope, and Suga have discharged as of late 2024, with full reunion not expected until mid-2025. No official announcement or promotional rollout for an "Arirang" album has materialized from HYBE or Big Hit Music, despite fan speculation around potential compilations or specials tied to the traditional Korean folk song BTS has performed. Historical precedents like Proof's 2.18 million first-week sales (2022) underscore diminished momentum without new group material, amplified by solo projects dominating recent K-pop sales charts. An upset would require a shock pre-holiday release with massive pre-order surges, rivaling past BTS debuts, though proximity to year-end chart locks makes this improbable absent breaking news.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日BTS「Arirang」ファーストウィークアルバムセール？
BTS「Arirang」ファーストウィークアルバムセール？
300万枚未満 99.6%
600万枚以上 1.4%
300万〜350万 <1%
550万〜600万 <1%
$155,072 Vol.
$155,072 Vol.
Mar 20, 2026
300万枚未満
100%
300万〜350万
1%
350万～400万
<1%
400万～450万
<1%
450万〜500万
<1%
500万～550万
<1%
550万〜600万
<1%
600万枚以上
1%
300万枚未満 99.6%
600万枚以上 1.4%
300万〜350万 <1%
550万〜600万 <1%
$155,072 Vol.
$155,072 Vol.
Mar 20, 2026
300万枚未満
$67,491 Vol.
100%
300万〜350万
$45,700 Vol.
1%
350万～400万
$0 Vol.
<1%
400万～450万
$41,881 Vol.
<1%
450万〜500万
$0 Vol.
<1%
500万～550万
$0 Vol.
<1%
550万〜600万
$0 Vol.
<1%
600万枚以上
$0 Vol.
1%
BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
マーケット開始日： Feb 3, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
音量
$155,072終了日
Mar 20, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.BTS's new album 'Arirang' is scheduled to be released on March 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the debut week sales for BTS's album 'Arirang', according to Hits Daily Double.
If the album 'Arirang' has not been released by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
If the album’s debut week sales fall exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically, the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album’s debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
音量
$155,072終了日
Mar 20, 2026マーケット開始日
Feb 3, 2026, 5:51 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors BTS's "Arirang" first-week album sales falling under 3 million units at 99.6% implied probability, driven by the group's ongoing hiatus amid mandatory military service for all members—only Jin, J-Hope, and Suga have discharged as of late 2024, with full reunion not expected until mid-2025. No official announcement or promotional rollout for an "Arirang" album has materialized from HYBE or Big Hit Music, despite fan speculation around potential compilations or specials tied to the traditional Korean folk song BTS has performed. Historical precedents like Proof's 2.18 million first-week sales (2022) underscore diminished momentum without new group material, amplified by solo projects dominating recent K-pop sales charts. An upset would require a shock pre-holiday release with massive pre-order surges, rivaling past BTS debuts, though proximity to year-end chart locks makes this improbable absent breaking news.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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