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Luigi Mangione charged by Friday?

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Luigi Mangione charged by Friday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$202,831 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$202,831 Vol.

On December 9, 2024, police detained an individual described as a "person of interest" in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson in Altoona, Pennsylvania rumored to be Luigi Mangione.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Luigi Mangione stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by December 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only charges directly stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson will qualify (e.g. charges for possession of a Fake ID will NOT qualify).

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$202,831
終了日
Dec 13, 2024
作成日時
Dec 9, 2024, 1:41 PM ET
On December 9, 2024, police detained an individual described as a "person of interest" in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson in Altoona, Pennsylvania rumored to be Luigi Mangione. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Luigi Mangione stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by December 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only charges directly stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson will qualify (e.g. charges for possession of a Fake ID will NOT qualify). For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

On December 9, 2024, police detained an individual described as a "person of interest" in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson in Altoona, Pennsylvania rumored to be Luigi Mangione.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Luigi Mangione stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by December 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only charges directly stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson will qualify (e.g. charges for possession of a Fake ID will NOT qualify).

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
音量
$202,831
終了日
Dec 13, 2024
作成日時
Dec 9, 2024, 1:41 PM ET
On December 9, 2024, police detained an individual described as a "person of interest" in connection with the incident involving UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson in Altoona, Pennsylvania rumored to be Luigi Mangione. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Luigi Mangione stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson by December 13, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only charges directly stemming from the attack on UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson will qualify (e.g. charges for possession of a Fake ID will NOT qualify). For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Luigi Mangione charged by Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Luigi Mangione charged by Friday?" has generated $202.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 9, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Luigi Mangione charged by Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Luigi Mangione charged by Friday?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Luigi Mangione charged by Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.