Market icon

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?

>99% chance

$2,109,992 Vol.

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukrainian forces maintain control of any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia, through 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast.

The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume
$2,109,992
Date de fin
Oct 31, 2024
Créé le
Aug 13, 2024, 12:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukrainian forces maintain control of any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia, through 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast. The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Market icon

Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?

>99% chance

$2,109,992 Vol.

À propos

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukrainian forces maintain control of any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia, through 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast.

The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Volume
$2,109,992
Date de fin
Oct 31, 2024
Créé le
Aug 13, 2024, 12:24 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ukrainian forces maintain control of any part of the Kursk Oblast of Russia, through 11:59 PM ET on October 31, 2024. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Ukrainian forces at any point no longer control any territory in the Kursk Oblast, this market will immediately resolve to "No". Control is defined as Ukrainian forces being present and actively holding territory in the Kursk Oblast. The primary resolution source for this market will be maps and reports published by the Institute for the Study of War (https://www.arcgis.com/apps/mapviewer/index.html?webmap=9f04944a2fe84edab9da31750c2b15eb), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.