Market icon

Will Trump mention 8+ states during Rogan interview?

Market icon

Will Trump mention 8+ states during Rogan interview?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$10,064 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$10,064 Vol.

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the name of 8 or more unique US states (e.g. "Texas", "Alabama", "New York", etc.) during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the name of a state regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (e.g. "Texan", "Alabaman", "New Yorker", etc. would NOT count).

Compound words will count as long as the mentioned state is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to that mentioned state.

If a state is mentioned multiple times, it will not qualify as multiple states mentioned (i.e. if Trump says "Texas" 5 times and "Alabama" 3 times, it will only count as 2 states mentioned).

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
Volume
$10,064
Date de fin
Oct 25, 2024
Marché ouvert
Oct 24, 2024, 2:47 PM ET
Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the name of 8 or more unique US states (e.g. "Texas", "Alabama", "New York", etc.) during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the name of a state regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (e.g. "Texan", "Alabaman", "New Yorker", etc. would NOT count). Compound words will count as long as the mentioned state is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to that mentioned state. If a state is mentioned multiple times, it will not qualify as multiple states mentioned (i.e. if Trump says "Texas" 5 times and "Alabama" 3 times, it will only count as 2 states mentioned). If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the name of 8 or more unique US states (e.g. "Texas", "Alabama", "New York", etc.) during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Any usage of the name of a state regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (e.g. "Texan", "Alabaman", "New Yorker", etc. would NOT count).

Compound words will count as long as the mentioned state is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to that mentioned state.

If a state is mentioned multiple times, it will not qualify as multiple states mentioned (i.e. if Trump says "Texas" 5 times and "Alabama" 3 times, it will only count as 2 states mentioned).

If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.
Volume
$10,064
Date de fin
Oct 25, 2024
Marché ouvert
Oct 24, 2024, 2:47 PM ET
Donald Trump has scheduled a podcast interview on The Joe Rogan Experience to be released on Friday, October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says the name of 8 or more unique US states (e.g. "Texas", "Alabama", "New York", etc.) during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the name of a state regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count (e.g. "Texan", "Alabaman", "New Yorker", etc. would NOT count). Compound words will count as long as the mentioned state is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to that mentioned state. If a state is mentioned multiple times, it will not qualify as multiple states mentioned (i.e. if Trump says "Texas" 5 times and "Alabama" 3 times, it will only count as 2 states mentioned). If this candidate cancels his appearance, or if the podcast release is otherwise cancelled or delayed past November 4, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the released podcast and/or its transcript.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Will Trump mention 8+ states during Rogan interview? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 100% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 100¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Will Trump mention 8+ states during Rogan interview? » a généré $10.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 24, 2024. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Will Trump mention 8+ states during Rogan interview? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Will Trump mention 8+ states during Rogan interview? » est de 100% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 100% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Will Trump mention 8+ states during Rogan interview? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.