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Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?

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Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$245,944 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$245,944 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump claims victory in the 2024 US presidential election before the Associated Press (AP) declares a winner. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

For example, Trump's 2020 election night speech would qualify as declaring victory (https://www.rev.com/blog/transcripts/donald-trump-2020-election-night-speech-transcript), where he stated "Frankly, we did win this election."

Any public statement from Trump written or verbal will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Trump. A consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine whether Trump declared victory in the statement.
Volume
$245,944
Date de fin
Nov 5, 2024
Marché ouvert
Nov 1, 2024, 2:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump claims victory in the 2024 US presidential election before the Associated Press (AP) declares a winner. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". For example, Trump's 2020 election night speech would qualify as declaring victory (https://www.rev.com/blog/transcripts/donald-trump-2020-election-night-speech-transcript), where he stated "Frankly, we did win this election." Any public statement from Trump written or verbal will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Trump. A consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine whether Trump declared victory in the statement.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump claims victory in the 2024 US presidential election before the Associated Press (AP) declares a winner. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

For example, Trump's 2020 election night speech would qualify as declaring victory (https://www.rev.com/blog/transcripts/donald-trump-2020-election-night-speech-transcript), where he stated "Frankly, we did win this election."

Any public statement from Trump written or verbal will qualify.

The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Trump. A consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine whether Trump declared victory in the statement.
Volume
$245,944
Date de fin
Nov 5, 2024
Marché ouvert
Nov 1, 2024, 2:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump claims victory in the 2024 US presidential election before the Associated Press (AP) declares a winner. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". For example, Trump's 2020 election night speech would qualify as declaring victory (https://www.rev.com/blog/transcripts/donald-trump-2020-election-night-speech-transcript), where he stated "Frankly, we did win this election." Any public statement from Trump written or verbal will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Trump. A consensus of credible reporting will be used to determine whether Trump declared victory in the statement.

Résultat proposé: Yes

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?" has generated $245.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 1, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump claims victory before AP calls the election?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.