Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver (SI) reaching key resistance levels by March 31 hinges on Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, with markets pricing in a 75-basis-point easing by year-end per CME FedWatch data. Spot silver trades at $23.65, up 8% YTD amid industrial demand surges from solar PV and EV sectors, plus safe-haven flows from geopolitical tensions. A weaker USD (DXY at 103.50) and gold's rally above $2,050/oz provide tailwinds, but COMEX inventories at 280Moz signal potential supply constraints. Key catalysts include March 12 CPI (consensus 3.1% YoY) and March 20 FOMC; implied probabilities reflect trader consensus at modest odds for a $30+ breakout, acknowledging volatility risks from sticky inflation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$928,503 Vol.
↑ 200 $
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ 150 $
1%
↑ 140 $
1%
↑ 130 $
1%
↑ 125 $
1%
↑ 120 $
1%
↑ 115 $
1%
↑ 110 $
1%
↑ 105 $
1%
↑ 100 $
2%
↑ 95 $
4%
↓ 65 $
57%
↓ 60 $
15%
↓ 50 $
7%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 25 $
1%
$928,503 Vol.
↑ 200 $
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ 150 $
1%
↑ 140 $
1%
↑ 130 $
1%
↑ 125 $
1%
↑ 120 $
1%
↑ 115 $
1%
↑ 110 $
1%
↑ 105 $
1%
↑ 100 $
2%
↑ 95 $
4%
↓ 65 $
57%
↓ 60 $
15%
↓ 50 $
7%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 25 $
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver (SI) reaching key resistance levels by March 31 hinges on Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, with markets pricing in a 75-basis-point easing by year-end per CME FedWatch data. Spot silver trades at $23.65, up 8% YTD amid industrial demand surges from solar PV and EV sectors, plus safe-haven flows from geopolitical tensions. A weaker USD (DXY at 103.50) and gold's rally above $2,050/oz provide tailwinds, but COMEX inventories at 280Moz signal potential supply constraints. Key catalysts include March 12 CPI (consensus 3.1% YoY) and March 20 FOMC; implied probabilities reflect trader consensus at modest odds for a $30+ breakout, acknowledging volatility risks from sticky inflation.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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