Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 42% implied probability for silver (SI) topping $32.50 by March 31, tempered by recent consolidation after hitting $32.70 highs in October amid Fed rate cut optimism. Spot silver holds at $31.15, with Comex March futures near $31.40, buoyed by robust industrial demand from solar panels and electronics—up 28% year-to-date—yet pressured by a resilient U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields. Key catalysts ahead include February CPI data on March 12, potentially signaling disinflation for further Fed easing, and the March 18-19 FOMC meeting for 2025 rate path updates; a hawkish tilt could cap upside, while sub-2% core CPI might propel trader odds higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$1,021,665 Vol.
↑ 200 $
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ 150 $
<1%
↑ 140 $
1%
↑ 130 $
1%
↑ 125 $
1%
↑ 120 $
1%
↑ 115 $
1%
↑ 110 $
1%
↑ 105 $
1%
↑ 100 $
2%
↑ 95 $
4%
↓ 65 $
56%
↓ 60 $
16%
↓ 50 $
6%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 25 $
1%
$1,021,665 Vol.
↑ 200 $
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ 150 $
<1%
↑ 140 $
1%
↑ 130 $
1%
↑ 125 $
1%
↑ 120 $
1%
↑ 115 $
1%
↑ 110 $
1%
↑ 105 $
1%
↑ 100 $
2%
↑ 95 $
4%
↓ 65 $
56%
↓ 60 $
16%
↓ 50 $
6%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 25 $
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a modest 42% implied probability for silver (SI) topping $32.50 by March 31, tempered by recent consolidation after hitting $32.70 highs in October amid Fed rate cut optimism. Spot silver holds at $31.15, with Comex March futures near $31.40, buoyed by robust industrial demand from solar panels and electronics—up 28% year-to-date—yet pressured by a resilient U.S. dollar and elevated Treasury yields. Key catalysts ahead include February CPI data on March 12, potentially signaling disinflation for further Fed easing, and the March 18-19 FOMC meeting for 2025 rate path updates; a hawkish tilt could cap upside, while sub-2% core CPI might propel trader odds higher.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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