Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for silver (SI) futures to hit $32 by March 31, primarily driven by anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts weakening the U.S. dollar and boosting precious metals demand. Spot silver trades at $30.85 amid strong industrial buying from solar panel production and EV batteries, up 25% YTD, correlating tightly with gold's rally. Key risks include hotter-than-expected CPI data on October 10 or persistent China economic weakness curbing demand. Watch the November FOMC meeting for dot plot updates on 2025 cuts; a dovish tilt could push implied odds higher, while hawkish surprises might trigger pullbacks toward $28 support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$1,018,831 Vol.
↑ 200 $
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ 150 $
<1%
↑ 140 $
1%
↑ 130 $
1%
↑ 125 $
1%
↑ 120 $
<1%
↑ 115 $
1%
↑ 110 $
1%
↑ 105 $
1%
↑ 100 $
2%
↑ 95 $
4%
↓ 65 $
56%
↓ 60 $
18%
↓ 50 $
5%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 25 $
1%
$1,018,831 Vol.
↑ 200 $
<1%
↑ 170 $
<1%
↑ 150 $
<1%
↑ 140 $
1%
↑ 130 $
1%
↑ 125 $
1%
↑ 120 $
<1%
↑ 115 $
1%
↑ 110 $
1%
↑ 105 $
1%
↑ 100 $
2%
↑ 95 $
4%
↓ 65 $
56%
↓ 60 $
18%
↓ 50 $
5%
↓ 40 $
1%
↓ 25 $
1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for silver (SI) futures to hit $32 by March 31, primarily driven by anticipated Federal Reserve rate cuts weakening the U.S. dollar and boosting precious metals demand. Spot silver trades at $30.85 amid strong industrial buying from solar panel production and EV batteries, up 25% YTD, correlating tightly with gold's rally. Key risks include hotter-than-expected CPI data on October 10 or persistent China economic weakness curbing demand. Watch the November FOMC meeting for dot plot updates on 2025 cuts; a dovish tilt could push implied odds higher, while hawkish surprises might trigger pullbacks toward $28 support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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