Russian forces maintain pressure on Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast's Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area amid their spring 2026 offensive, conducting mechanized assaults, infiltrations, and drone strikes on supply roads but registering no confirmed advances as of March 27 per Institute for the Study of War assessments. Ukrainian forces repelled a March 26 platoon-sized attack southeast of the town using tanks from Toretsk and infantry groups, destroying one tank, eliminating assault units, and capturing a prisoner, while advancing locally in southeastern Kostyantynivka. The city, a key logistics hub in Ukraine's "Fortress Belt" defenses, remains under Ukrainian control with front lines stable despite intensified Russian shelling and Vampyr bomber drones. Traders track ISW terrain maps for control of the railroad station, pivotal for market resolution by June 30.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$5,645,811 Vol.
31 mars 2026
3%
30 avril 2026
27%
30 juin 2026
64%
31 décembre 2026
88%
$5,645,811 Vol.
31 mars 2026
3%
30 avril 2026
27%
30 juin 2026
64%
31 décembre 2026
88%
The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg
Train Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg
Kostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Nov 13, 2025, 11:22 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The railroad station will be considered captured if any part of the train station icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. If the area is not shaded red by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
If Russia comes into control of this territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of if it is shaded red in the ISW map. An announcement of a negotiated settlement which gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
Once Russia captures the railroad station, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
Train Station Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka3.jpg
Train Station Location in Kostyantynivka: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka2.jpg
Kostyantynivka Location: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Kostyantynivka1.jpg
Location on Google maps: https://maps.app.goo.gl/hZ6ch5jVRvkNFY317
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map which will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces maintain pressure on Kostyantynivka in Donetsk Oblast's Kostyantynivka-Druzhkivka tactical area amid their spring 2026 offensive, conducting mechanized assaults, infiltrations, and drone strikes on supply roads but registering no confirmed advances as of March 27 per Institute for the Study of War assessments. Ukrainian forces repelled a March 26 platoon-sized attack southeast of the town using tanks from Toretsk and infantry groups, destroying one tank, eliminating assault units, and capturing a prisoner, while advancing locally in southeastern Kostyantynivka. The city, a key logistics hub in Ukraine's "Fortress Belt" defenses, remains under Ukrainian control with front lines stable despite intensified Russian shelling and Vampyr bomber drones. Traders track ISW terrain maps for control of the railroad station, pivotal for market resolution by June 30.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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