Persistent expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts into 2025 have propelled gold (GC) futures toward all-time highs, with spot prices hovering near $2,650 per ounce as trader consensus on Polymarket prices a [X]% implied probability of hitting the target level by March 31. This sentiment stems from a weakening U.S. dollar—DXY index down 2% in recent weeks—and robust central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD per World Gold Council data. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East further enhance safe-haven appeal. Key catalysts ahead include December FOMC projections and January CPI release; a dovish pivot could push prices above $2,700, while hotter inflation might cap upside amid market-implied odds reflecting 65% conviction for breaching the threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourL'or (GC) atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin du mois de mars ?
L'or (GC) atteindra-t-il __ d'ici la fin du mois de mars ?
$1,899,505 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
<1%
↑ 7 000 $
<1%
↑ 6 600 $
<1%
↑ 6 400 $
<1%
↑ 6 200 $
<1%
↑ 6 000 $
1%
↑ 5 800 $
1%
↑ 5 600 $
1%
↑ 5 500 $
1%
↑ 5 400 $
2%
↓ 4 500 $
76%
↓ 4 300 $
32%
↓ 4 000 $
7%
↓ 3 600 $
1%
↓ 3 000 $
1%
$1,899,505 Vol.
↑ 10 000 $
<1%
↑ 7 000 $
<1%
↑ 6 600 $
<1%
↑ 6 400 $
<1%
↑ 6 200 $
<1%
↑ 6 000 $
1%
↑ 5 800 $
1%
↑ 5 600 $
1%
↑ 5 500 $
1%
↑ 5 400 $
2%
↓ 4 500 $
76%
↓ 4 300 $
32%
↓ 4 000 $
7%
↓ 3 600 $
1%
↓ 3 000 $
1%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts into 2025 have propelled gold (GC) futures toward all-time highs, with spot prices hovering near $2,650 per ounce as trader consensus on Polymarket prices a [X]% implied probability of hitting the target level by March 31. This sentiment stems from a weakening U.S. dollar—DXY index down 2% in recent weeks—and robust central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD per World Gold Council data. Geopolitical risks in the Middle East further enhance safe-haven appeal. Key catalysts ahead include December FOMC projections and January CPI release; a dovish pivot could push prices above $2,700, while hotter inflation might cap upside amid market-implied odds reflecting 65% conviction for breaching the threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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