Trader consensus on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 Yea votes tilts toward passage in the House by March 31, driven by Republican leadership's push for full-year funding amid ongoing fiscal negotiations, with probabilities hovering around 60-70% for key GOP members. Recent House Appropriations Committee approval of the $63 billion measure, emphasizing border security enhancements, has boosted optimism, though conservative holdouts like the Freedom Caucus cite excessive spending as a risk for defections. Senate dynamics remain fluid post-minibus advancements, with bipartisan talks accelerating. Watch the full House floor vote, slated for late February, and any amendments on immigration enforcement, which could sway 10-15 swing votes and shift market odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourQui votera « oui » sur la loi de crédits du DHS de 2026 d'ici le 31 mars ?
Qui votera « oui » sur la loi de crédits du DHS de 2026 d'ici le 31 mars ?
$13,135 Vol.

Jacky Rosen
51%

Catherine Cortez Masto
42%

Chuck Schumer
41%

Lisa Murkowski
33%

Tim Kaine
23%

Thom Tillis
19%

Angus King
21%

Patty Murray
25%

Dick Durbin
26%

John Fetterman
22%

Ron Johnson
19%

Chris Coons
20%

Rick Scott
30%

Kirsten Gillibrand
13%

Chris Murphy
10%

Rand Paul
9%

Mike Lee
7%

Bernie Sanders
6%

Amy Klobuchar
6%

Maggie Hassan
37%

Mark Warner
44%

Jeanne Shaheen
51%

Susan Collins
48%
$13,135 Vol.

Jacky Rosen
51%

Catherine Cortez Masto
42%

Chuck Schumer
41%

Lisa Murkowski
33%

Tim Kaine
23%

Thom Tillis
19%

Angus King
21%

Patty Murray
25%

Dick Durbin
26%

John Fetterman
22%

Ron Johnson
19%

Chris Coons
20%

Rick Scott
30%

Kirsten Gillibrand
13%

Chris Murphy
10%

Rand Paul
9%

Mike Lee
7%

Bernie Sanders
6%

Amy Klobuchar
6%

Maggie Hassan
37%

Mark Warner
44%

Jeanne Shaheen
51%

Susan Collins
48%
This market will resolve to "No" if no vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, occurs by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The listed senator's vote during the first qualifying roll-call vote on passage of the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, will be used for this market’s resolution, regardless of whether that bill is later signed into law.
Any vote by the listed U.S. senator on the Department of Homeland Security Appropriations Act, 2026, whether that bill is voted on individually or as part of a larger legislative package in which DHS appropriations are clearly included, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
Any vote on a continuing resolution (CR), whether or not it includes Department of Homeland Security funding, will not qualify for this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the DHS Appropriations Act, 2026 Yea votes tilts toward passage in the House by March 31, driven by Republican leadership's push for full-year funding amid ongoing fiscal negotiations, with probabilities hovering around 60-70% for key GOP members. Recent House Appropriations Committee approval of the $63 billion measure, emphasizing border security enhancements, has boosted optimism, though conservative holdouts like the Freedom Caucus cite excessive spending as a risk for defections. Senate dynamics remain fluid post-minibus advancements, with bipartisan talks accelerating. Watch the full House floor vote, slated for late February, and any amendments on immigration enforcement, which could sway 10-15 swing votes and shift market odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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