Market icon

Qui Trump nommera-t-il lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?

Market icon

Qui Trump nommera-t-il lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?

$778,375 Vol.

Feb 24, 2026
Polymarket

$778,375 Vol.

Polymarket

Ayatollah / Khamenei

$8,171 Vol.

Non

Beckstrom

$14,682 Vol.

Oui

Bessent

$18,125 Vol.

Non

Bibi / Netanyahou

$13,406 Vol.

Non

Charlie Kirk

$43,982 Vol.

Oui

Clinton

$12,738 Vol.

Non

Elizabeth Warren / Pocahontas

$6,992 Vol.

Non

Elon / Musk

$12,353 Vol.

Non

Hegseth

$14,012 Vol.

Non

Homan

$17,001 Vol.

Non

Howard / Lutnick

$11,362 Vol.

Non

Kushner

$22,752 Vol.

Oui

Karoline / Leavitt

$10,737 Vol.

Non

Kash / Patel

$11,243 Vol.

Non

Noem

$9,681 Vol.

Non

Lincoln

$12,608 Vol.

Non

Maduro

$18,016 Vol.

Oui

Marco / Rubio

$14,769 Vol.

Oui

Monroe

$24,558 Vol.

Non

Newsom / Newscum

$19,690 Vol.

Non

Obama

$103,547 Vol.

Oui

Pam / Bondi

$11,688 Vol.

Non

Powell / Trop tard

$9,538 Vol.

Non

Président Xi

$18,077 Vol.

Non

Prince Mohammed

$12,918 Vol.

Non

Poutine

$17,169 Vol.

Non

Reagan

$15,552 Vol.

Non

Reza / Pahlavi

$8,660 Vol.

Non

Schumer

$3,913 Vol.

Non

Susie Wiles

$8,570 Vol.

Non

Thune

$14,052 Vol.

Non

Walz

$8,445 Vol.

Non

Witkoff

$33,363 Vol.

Oui

Zelenskyy

$12,449 Vol.

Non

Zohran / Mamdani

$14,622 Vol.

Non

Bush

$7,228 Vol.

Non

Biden

$58,518 Vol.

Oui

Kavanaugh

$818 Vol.

Non

Kevin Warsh

$7,103 Vol.

Non

Judy Shelton

$74,897 Vol.

Non

Machado

$2,157 Vol.

Non

Caine

$2,500 Vol.

Non

Dell

$10,084 Vol.

Oui

Scalise

$5,627 Vol.

Non

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Volume
$778,375
Date de fin
Feb 24, 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 20, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qui Trump nommera-t-il lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 44+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Beckstrom" at 100%, followed by "Charlie Kirk" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qui Trump nommera-t-il lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?" has generated $778.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qui Trump nommera-t-il lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?," browse the 44+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qui Trump nommera-t-il lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?" is "Beckstrom" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Charlie Kirk" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qui Trump nommera-t-il lors du discours sur l'état de l'Union ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.