President Trump's abrupt firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, amid backlash over Department of Justice enforcement actions, coupled with the replacement of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, underscores ongoing cabinet turnover in his second term. These high-profile departures, following earlier exits like that of a senior DHS official in May 2025, reflect loyalty tests, policy clashes on immigration and civil service reforms, and historical patterns from Trump's first administration where senior staff turnover exceeded 70%. Reports indicate discussions of further changes involving FBI Director Kash Patel and others, with traders eyeing upcoming Senate confirmation hearings for replacements and escalating executive actions as key catalysts before the January 2027 resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$794,062 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Kash Patel
74%
Tulsi Gabbard
64%
Howard Lutnick
58%
Kristi Noem
57%
Pete Hegseth
42%
John Ratcliffe
40%
Lee Zeldin
39%
Karoline Leavitt
36%
Dan Scavino
35%
Susie Wiles
33%
David Sacks
31%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
27%
Scott Bessent
18%
Marco Rubio
17%
Stephen Miller
16%
Russell Vought
28%
Tom Homan
29%
$794,062 Vol.
Kash Patel
$132,812 Vol.
74%
Tulsi Gabbard
$10,658 Vol.
64%
Howard Lutnick
$34,408 Vol.
58%
Kristi Noem
$84,579 Vol.
57%
Pete Hegseth
$14,375 Vol.
42%
John Ratcliffe
$0 Vol.
40%
Lee Zeldin
$23,741 Vol.
39%
Karoline Leavitt
$10,937 Vol.
36%
Dan Scavino
$31 Vol.
35%
Susie Wiles
$39,563 Vol.
33%
David Sacks
$6,314 Vol.
31%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$63,137 Vol.
27%
Scott Bessent
$411 Vol.
18%
Marco Rubio
$2,607 Vol.
17%
Stephen Miller
$540 Vol.
16%
Russell Vought
$134 Vol.
28%
Tom Homan
$39 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.President Trump's abrupt firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, amid backlash over Department of Justice enforcement actions, coupled with the replacement of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, underscores ongoing cabinet turnover in his second term. These high-profile departures, following earlier exits like that of a senior DHS official in May 2025, reflect loyalty tests, policy clashes on immigration and civil service reforms, and historical patterns from Trump's first administration where senior staff turnover exceeded 70%. Reports indicate discussions of further changes involving FBI Director Kash Patel and others, with traders eyeing upcoming Senate confirmation hearings for replacements and escalating executive actions as key catalysts before the January 2027 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
Volume
$794,062Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.President Trump's abrupt firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, amid backlash over Department of Justice enforcement actions, coupled with the replacement of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, underscores ongoing cabinet turnover in his second term. These high-profile departures, following earlier exits like that of a senior DHS official in May 2025, reflect loyalty tests, policy clashes on immigration and civil service reforms, and historical patterns from Trump's first administration where senior staff turnover exceeded 70%. Reports indicate discussions of further changes involving FBI Director Kash Patel and others, with traders eyeing upcoming Senate confirmation hearings for replacements and escalating executive actions as key catalysts before the January 2027 resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Volume
$794,062Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's abrupt firing of Attorney General Pam Bondi on April 2, 2026, amid backlash over Department of Justice enforcement actions, coupled with the replacement of Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, underscores ongoing cabinet turnover in his second term. These high-profile departures, following earlier exits like that of a senior DHS official in May 2025, reflect loyalty tests, policy clashes on immigration and civil service reforms, and historical patterns from Trump's first administration where senior staff turnover exceeded 70%. Reports indicate discussions of further changes involving FBI Director Kash Patel and others, with traders eyeing upcoming Senate confirmation hearings for replacements and escalating executive actions as key catalysts before the January 2027 resolution deadline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes