Market icon
Politique·Trump

Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ?

Market icon
Politique·Trump

Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ?

$1,572,836 Vol.

30 juin 2026
Polymarket

$1,572,836 Vol.

Polymarket

Richard Branson

$49,827 Vol.

24%

Kevin Spacey

$26,724 Vol.

17%

Woody Allen

$12,487 Vol.

16%

Steve Bannon

$57,616 Vol.

13%

Steven Tisch

$0 Vol.

10%

Deepak Chopra

$11,319 Vol.

10%

Harvey Weinstein

$17,169 Vol.

8%

Noam Chomsky

$24,688 Vol.

6%

Bill Clinton

$258,074 Vol.

6%

Bill Gates

$97,443 Vol.

6%

Bill Cosby

$8,860 Vol.

5%

Michael Jackson

$153,503 Vol.

5%

Donald Trump

$131,635 Vol.

4%

Hillary Clinton

$39,715 Vol.

4%

Peter Attia

$6,967 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$78,540 Vol.

3%

Jay-Z

$576,627 Vol.

3%

Marco Rubio

$21,643 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Epstein island visits hinges on the U.S. Department of Justice's January 30, 2026, release of over three million pages of files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, including emails, flight logs, videos, and photos that confirm limited visits to Little St. James—such as Howard Lutnick's family in 2012 and Sergey Brin—while mentioning high-profile figures like Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Richard Branson, and Steve Bannon in communications about travel or events without direct island proof. These documents, building on 2024-2025 unseals, provide piecemeal evidence but no comprehensive visitor list, leaving resolution dependent on court records, sworn testimony, or self-admissions by June 30, 2026. Ongoing investigations into figures like Lord Mandelson and fallout probes sustain uncertainty, with potential congressional hearings or further DOJ batches as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,572,836
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on Epstein island visits hinges on the U.S. Department of Justice's January 30, 2026, release of over three million pages of files under the Epstein Files Transparency Act, including emails, flight logs, videos, and photos that confirm limited visits to Little St. James—such as Howard Lutnick's family in 2012 and Sergey Brin—while mentioning high-profile figures like Bill Gates, Elon Musk, Richard Branson, and Steve Bannon in communications about travel or events without direct island proof. These documents, building on 2024-2025 unseals, provide piecemeal evidence but no comprehensive visitor list, leaving resolution dependent on court records, sworn testimony, or self-admissions by June 30, 2026. Ongoing investigations into figures like Lord Mandelson and fallout probes sustain uncertainty, with potential congressional hearings or further DOJ batches as key catalysts.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,572,836
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 18 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Richard Branson » à 24%, suivi de « Kevin Spacey » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 24¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? » a généré $1.6 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 12, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? », parcourez les 18 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? » est « Richard Branson » à 24%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 24% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Kevin Spacey » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.