Market icon
Politique·Trump

Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ?

Market icon
Politique·Trump

Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ?

$1,588,779 Vol.

30 juin 2026
Polymarket

$1,588,779 Vol.

Polymarket

Richard Branson

$51,252 Vol.

23%

Kevin Spacey

$27,785 Vol.

14%

Woody Allen

$12,762 Vol.

14%

Steve Bannon

$57,832 Vol.

13%

Steven Tisch

$4,728 Vol.

11%

Deepak Chopra

$11,327 Vol.

10%

Bill Cosby

$8,860 Vol.

5%

Bill Gates

$98,999 Vol.

5%

Noam Chomsky

$25,088 Vol.

5%

Harvey Weinstein

$18,526 Vol.

5%

Michael Jackson

$153,736 Vol.

5%

Bill Clinton

$260,100 Vol.

5%

Hillary Clinton

$39,789 Vol.

4%

Donald Trump

$131,927 Vol.

4%

Peter Attia

$6,969 Vol.

3%

Jay-Z

$576,649 Vol.

3%

Elon Musk

$80,807 Vol.

2%

Marco Rubio

$21,645 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability—24%—to Richard Branson visiting Epstein's Little St. James island, followed by Kevin Spacey and Woody Allen at 15% each, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments amid stringent resolution rules requiring public flight logs, photos, videos, court records, sworn testimony, or self-admission by June 30, 2026. The U.S. Department of Justice's February 2026 release of over three million Epstein files under Attorney General Pam Bondi, fulfilling congressional transparency mandates, mentioned high-profile figures in emails and contacts but yielded no new confirmatory island evidence for leading outcomes, tempering odds despite prior associations. No major developments in the past 30 days; traders eye potential congressional hearings or additional disclosures before deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,588,779
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns the highest implied probability—24%—to Richard Branson visiting Epstein's Little St. James island, followed by Kevin Spacey and Woody Allen at 15% each, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments amid stringent resolution rules requiring public flight logs, photos, videos, court records, sworn testimony, or self-admission by June 30, 2026. The U.S. Department of Justice's February 2026 release of over three million Epstein files under Attorney General Pam Bondi, fulfilling congressional transparency mandates, mentioned high-profile figures in emails and contacts but yielded no new confirmatory island evidence for leading outcomes, tempering odds despite prior associations. No major developments in the past 30 days; traders eye potential congressional hearings or additional disclosures before deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,588,779
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Questions fréquentes

« Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 18 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Richard Branson » à 23%, suivi de « Kevin Spacey » à 14%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 23¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 23% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? » a généré $1.6 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 12, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? », parcourez les 18 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? » est « Richard Branson » à 23%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 23% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Kevin Spacey » à 14%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Qui a visité l'île d'Epstein ? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.