Trader consensus on "What will Trump say in March?" reflects exhaustive reviews of President Trump's March 2026 public statements, including Truth Social posts, the March 3 events with Chancellor Merz, March 26 cabinet meeting, and March 27 FII PRIORITY Summit, amid dominant focus on Iran tensions—such as Tehran missile strikes, Kharg Island disputes, oil price surges above $100/barrel, and de-escalation talks. High-volume outcomes like "Third term" trade at 0.5% Yes probability due to disputed video clips from donor events deemed incomplete by oracles, while confirmed mentions resolved "Barack Hussein Obama" and others to Yes at 100%. Final UMA oracle reviews, concluding soon, will settle remaining ambiguities before April payouts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$1,098,351 Vol.
Third term
<1%
$1,098,351 Vol.
Third term
<1%
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: No
Contesté
Résultat proposé: No
Contesté
Révision finale
Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").
If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).
AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.
A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.
Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.
Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: No
Contesté
Résultat proposé: No
Contesté
Révision finale
Trader consensus on "What will Trump say in March?" reflects exhaustive reviews of President Trump's March 2026 public statements, including Truth Social posts, the March 3 events with Chancellor Merz, March 26 cabinet meeting, and March 27 FII PRIORITY Summit, amid dominant focus on Iran tensions—such as Tehran missile strikes, Kharg Island disputes, oil price surges above $100/barrel, and de-escalation talks. High-volume outcomes like "Third term" trade at 0.5% Yes probability due to disputed video clips from donor events deemed incomplete by oracles, while confirmed mentions resolved "Barack Hussein Obama" and others to Yes at 100%. Final UMA oracle reviews, concluding soon, will settle remaining ambiguities before April payouts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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