US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching strikes in Caracas that captured former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, who now face charges in New York. Delcy Rodríguez assumed the role of acting president amid a military reshuffle, with Washington imposing oversight through coordination with Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth to manage the transition and neutralize threats from Maduro loyalists. Recent de-escalation includes the US embassy's reopening on March 30 and sanctions relief for Rodríguez on April 2, signaling normalization and reduced escalation risks. Absent renewed instability like unrest or external interference, further US troop deployments appear unlikely, though Maduro's trial and coalition dynamics could influence future diplomacy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$1,257,502 Vol.
31 janv. 2026
31 mars
1%
30 juin
13%
$1,257,502 Vol.
31 mars
$3,502 Vol.
1%
30 juin
$173,910 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching strikes in Caracas that captured former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, who now face charges in New York. Delcy Rodríguez assumed the role of acting president amid a military reshuffle, with Washington imposing oversight through coordination with Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth to manage the transition and neutralize threats from Maduro loyalists. Recent de-escalation includes the US embassy's reopening on March 30 and sanctions relief for Rodríguez on April 2, signaling normalization and reduced escalation risks. Absent renewed instability like unrest or external interference, further US troop deployments appear unlikely, though Maduro's trial and coalition dynamics could influence future diplomacy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ET
Volume
$1,257,502Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching strikes in Caracas that captured former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, who now face charges in New York. Delcy Rodríguez assumed the role of acting president amid a military reshuffle, with Washington imposing oversight through coordination with Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth to manage the transition and neutralize threats from Maduro loyalists. Recent de-escalation includes the US embassy's reopening on March 30 and sanctions relief for Rodríguez on April 2, signaling normalization and reduced escalation risks. Absent renewed instability like unrest or external interference, further US troop deployments appear unlikely, though Maduro's trial and coalition dynamics could influence future diplomacy.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Venezuela at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Venezuela to qualify. Entering Venezuela's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Venezuela for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,257,502Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 4, 2026, 2:05 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US forces conducted a targeted military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, launching strikes in Caracas that captured former President Nicolás Maduro and his wife, who now face charges in New York. Delcy Rodríguez assumed the role of acting president amid a military reshuffle, with Washington imposing oversight through coordination with Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth to manage the transition and neutralize threats from Maduro loyalists. Recent de-escalation includes the US embassy's reopening on March 30 and sanctions relief for Rodríguez on April 2, signaling normalization and reduced escalation risks. Absent renewed instability like unrest or external interference, further US troop deployments appear unlikely, though Maduro's trial and coalition dynamics could influence future diplomacy.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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