US-Israel airstrikes on Iran continue into day 35 of the 2026 conflict, with US Central Command releasing footage on April 2 of strikes targeting military sites, fueling trader expectations of potential ground escalation despite no confirmed US troop entry into Iranian territory to date. Pentagon preparations for limited ground operations—such as raids on Kharg Island and coastal uranium facilities—have driven recent deployments exceeding 50,000 troops in the Middle East, including Marine Expeditionary Units and the 82nd Airborne. President Trump's warnings of intensified action follow Iranian counterstrikes on US bases, amid stalled diplomacy and surging oil prices. Key watchpoints include imminent decisions on ground incursions and any Tehran concessions to US demands.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourLes forces américaines entrent en Iran par... ?
Les forces américaines entrent en Iran par... ?
$103,139,081 Vol.
3 mars 2026
31 mars
<1%
30 avril
66%
31 décembre
77%
$103,139,081 Vol.
31 mars
$71,760,698 Vol.
<1%
30 avril
$20,435,316 Vol.
66%
31 décembre
$8,871,883 Vol.
77%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.US-Israel airstrikes on Iran continue into day 35 of the 2026 conflict, with US Central Command releasing footage on April 2 of strikes targeting military sites, fueling trader expectations of potential ground escalation despite no confirmed US troop entry into Iranian territory to date. Pentagon preparations for limited ground operations—such as raids on Kharg Island and coastal uranium facilities—have driven recent deployments exceeding 50,000 troops in the Middle East, including Marine Expeditionary Units and the 82nd Airborne. President Trump's warnings of intensified action follow Iranian counterstrikes on US bases, amid stalled diplomacy and surging oil prices. Key watchpoints include imminent decisions on ground incursions and any Tehran concessions to US demands.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ET
Volume
$103,139,081Marché ouvert
Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify; however, intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Note: Only US military personnel who deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran for operational purposes (e.g., military, humanitarian, etc.) will qualify. Pilots who are shot down, or other cases in which US military personnel do not deliberately enter the terrestrial territory of Iran, will not qualify.US-Israel airstrikes on Iran continue into day 35 of the 2026 conflict, with US Central Command releasing footage on April 2 of strikes targeting military sites, fueling trader expectations of potential ground escalation despite no confirmed US troop entry into Iranian territory to date. Pentagon preparations for limited ground operations—such as raids on Kharg Island and coastal uranium facilities—have driven recent deployments exceeding 50,000 troops in the Middle East, including Marine Expeditionary Units and the 82nd Airborne. President Trump's warnings of intensified action follow Iranian counterstrikes on US bases, amid stalled diplomacy and surging oil prices. Key watchpoints include imminent decisions on ground incursions and any Tehran concessions to US demands.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active US military personnel physically enter Iran at any point by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Military special operation forces will qualify, however intelligence operatives will not count.
US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Iran to qualify. Entering Iran's maritime or aerial territory will not count.
Military contractors, military advisors, or high-ranking US service members entering Iran for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage) will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$103,139,081Marché ouvert
Feb 28, 2026, 8:59 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
US-Israel airstrikes on Iran continue into day 35 of the 2026 conflict, with US Central Command releasing footage on April 2 of strikes targeting military sites, fueling trader expectations of potential ground escalation despite no confirmed US troop entry into Iranian territory to date. Pentagon preparations for limited ground operations—such as raids on Kharg Island and coastal uranium facilities—have driven recent deployments exceeding 50,000 troops in the Middle East, including Marine Expeditionary Units and the 82nd Airborne. President Trump's warnings of intensified action follow Iranian counterstrikes on US bases, amid stalled diplomacy and surging oil prices. Key watchpoints include imminent decisions on ground incursions and any Tehran concessions to US demands.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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