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Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?

Market icon

Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$151,344 Vol.

<1% chance
Polymarket

$151,344 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump has a 60.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on September 20, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 20 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for September 20 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 20.
Volume
$151,344
Date de fin
Sep 20, 2024
Créé le
Sep 11, 2024, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump has a 60.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on September 20, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 20 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for September 20 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 20.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump has a 60.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on September 20, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College.

This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 20 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for September 20 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 20.
Volume
$151,344
Date de fin
Sep 20, 2024
Créé le
Sep 11, 2024, 6:37 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump has a 60.1% or greater chance of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin election forecast on September 20, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for September 20 when the datapoint first become available. If no datapoint for September 20 is available by September 30, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous figures to September 20.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?" has generated $151.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Sep 11, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Trump Silver Bulletin odds >60% Friday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.