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Trump Margin of Victory in New Hampshire Primary?

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Trump Margin of Victory in New Hampshire Primary?

>15% 0

12.5-15.0% 0

10.0-12.5% 0

7.5-10.0% 0

Polymarket

$2,348,852 Vol.

>15% 0

12.5-15.0% 0

10.0-12.5% 0

7.5-10.0% 0

Polymarket

$2,348,852 Vol.

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>15%

$997,617 Vol.

No

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12.5-15.0%

$313,737 Vol.

No

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10.0-12.5%

$344,986 Vol.

Yes

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7.5-10.0%

$266,383 Vol.

No

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5.0-7.5%

$93,900 Vol.

No

Market icon

2.5-5.0%

$79,804 Vol.

No

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0.0-2.5%

$99,925 Vol.

No

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Trump Loses

$152,500 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary by greater than 15% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If no 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary take place, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,348,852
Date de fin
Jan 23, 2024
Marché ouvert
Jan 16, 2024, 1:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump wins the 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary by greater than 15% of the popular vote (compared with the second place candidate). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no 2024 Republican New Hampshire Primary take place, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump Margin of Victory in New Hampshire Primary?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "10.0-12.5%" at 100%, followed by ">15%" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Trump Margin of Victory in New Hampshire Primary?" has generated $2.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 16, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Trump Margin of Victory in New Hampshire Primary?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump Margin of Victory in New Hampshire Primary?" is "10.0-12.5%" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is ">15%" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump Margin of Victory in New Hampshire Primary?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.