Name: Gagnant de la primaire républicaine du Sénat du Texas
Start: 2025-07-10T21:36:35.289529Z
End: 2026-03-03T00:00:00Z

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This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Texas. 

If no 2026 Texas Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Texas Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.


Ken Paxton

John Cornyn

Dawn Buckingham

Beth Van Duyne

Wesley Hunt

Primaire du Sénat du Texas

Gagnant de la primaire républicaine du Sénat du Texas

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between John Cornyn and Ken Paxton, John Cornyn becomes the favorite in the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" (https://polymarket.com/event/texas-republican-senate-primary-winner) for any four-hour period ending by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or earlier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

John Cornyn will be considered to have become the favorite for any four-hour period if he is ahead of Ken Paxton in more individual minutes than Ken Paxton is ahead of John Cornyn during a qualifying time period.

A tie in the number of minutes will not suffice.

If the underlying market resolves prior to this market, this market will immediately resolve in accordance with the underlying market’s final outcome.

The resolution source will be the underlying minute-level price data for the "Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner" market, which can be viewed using the bar chart on https://derivative.polymarket.com/index/will-cornyn-flip-paxton-for-texas-rep-senate-primary-winner-by-jan-31 or through the “Resolution” tab with the time set to show the two-hour period window. Both interfaces display the same underlying data.

Note: This market will resolve according to the price scoring methodology of derivative.polymarket.com.

Gagnant de la primaire républicaine du Sénat du Texas

Ken Paxton
$362,607 Vol.
65%

John Cornyn
$985,477 Vol.
26%

Wesley Hunt
$265,217 Vol.
6%

Dawn Buckingham
$136,735 Vol.
1%

Beth Van Duyne
$169,300 Vol.
<1%

Contexte du Marché

Gagnant de la primaire républicaine du Sénat du Texas

Règles

Gagnant de la primaire républicaine du Sénat du Texas

Contexte du Marché

Gagnant de la primaire républicaine du Sénat du Texas

À propos

Gagnant de la primaire républicaine du Sénat du Texas

Ken Paxton$362,607 Vol.65%Acheter Oui66¢Acheter Non37¢

John Cornyn$985,477 Vol.26%Acheter Oui27¢Acheter Non75¢

Wesley Hunt$265,217 Vol.6%Acheter Oui6.0¢Acheter Non94.1¢

Dawn Buckingham$136,735 Vol.1%Acheter Oui0.6¢Acheter Non99.6¢

Beth Van Duyne$169,300 Vol.<1%Acheter Oui0.2¢Acheter Non99.9¢

Contexte du Marché

Gagnant de la primaire républicaine du Sénat du Texas

Règles

Gagnant de la primaire républicaine du Sénat du Texas

Contexte du Marché

Gagnant de la primaire républicaine du Sénat du Texas

À propos

Ken Paxton
$362,607 Vol.
65%

John Cornyn
$985,477 Vol.
26%

Wesley Hunt
$265,217 Vol.
6%

Dawn Buckingham
$136,735 Vol.
1%

Beth Van Duyne
$169,300 Vol.
<1%