Recent reports of an imminent SpaceX IPO filing, potentially raising a record $75 billion as early as this week, have propelled trader consensus toward a 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's explosive subscriber growth and dominance in satellite broadband alongside Starship's rapid prototyping milestones like record 119-satellite deployments. A December 2025 tender offer valued the company at $800 billion—seen by markets as conservative given secured global direct-to-cell spectrum expanding addressable markets—but hype around reusability-driven launch cost reductions and competitive moats over rivals like Blue Origin has lifted higher brackets to 24.5% for 2.0T-2.5T. Elon Musk confirmed 2026 IPO plans last year; watch for S-1 filings or Starship tests as key catalysts amid valuation volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourSpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap
$1,542,740 Vol.
$1,542,740 Vol.
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
51%
2.0T-2.5T
25%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5 T$+
3%
No IPO before 2028
3%
$1,542,740 Vol.
$1,542,740 Vol.
<1.0T
3%
1.0T-1.5T
10%
1.5T-2.0T
51%
2.0T-2.5T
25%
2.5T-3.0T
6%
3.0T-3.5T
3%
3,5 T$+
3%
No IPO before 2028
3%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent reports of an imminent SpaceX IPO filing, potentially raising a record $75 billion as early as this week, have propelled trader consensus toward a 1.5T-2.0T closing market cap at 50.5% implied probability, reflecting Starlink's explosive subscriber growth and dominance in satellite broadband alongside Starship's rapid prototyping milestones like record 119-satellite deployments. A December 2025 tender offer valued the company at $800 billion—seen by markets as conservative given secured global direct-to-cell spectrum expanding addressable markets—but hype around reusability-driven launch cost reductions and competitive moats over rivals like Blue Origin has lifted higher brackets to 24.5% for 2.0T-2.5T. Elon Musk confirmed 2026 IPO plans last year; watch for S-1 filings or Starship tests as key catalysts amid valuation volatility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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