Market icon

Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028

Market icon

Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028

J.D. Vance 41.8%

Marco Rubio 16.4%

Ron DeSantis 3.1%

Donald Trump 2.1%

Polymarket

$362,222,768 Vol.

J.D. Vance 41.8%

Marco Rubio 16.4%

Ron DeSantis 3.1%

Donald Trump 2.1%

Polymarket

$362,222,768 Vol.

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$4,942,877 Vol.

42%

Market icon

Marco Rubio

$4,877,751 Vol.

16%

Market icon

Ron DeSantis

$4,421,134 Vol.

3%

Market icon

Donald Trump

$4,966,468 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Donald Trump Jr.

$3,648,198 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Thomas Massie

$1,768,084 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Tulsi Gabbard

$7,752,355 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ivanka Trump

$3,734,869 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Ted Cruz

$7,316,091 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Glenn Youngkin

$4,127,552 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Tucker Carlson

$2,991,945 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Tom Brady

$22,207,634 Vol.

2%

Market icon

Rand Paul

$14,001,474 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$10,730,567 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Brian Kemp

$7,849,641 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Elon Musk

$19,200,997 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$19,374,393 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Matt Gaetz

$13,479,096 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$2,647,033 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Nikki Haley

$4,936,778 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Titre d'élément de groupe: Greg Abbott

$14,529,738 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Byron Donalds

$15,778,696 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Titre d'élément de groupe: Josh Hawley

$11,598,313 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Katie Britt

$20,333,260 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$9,160,781 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kim Kardashian

$18,306,057 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Eric Trump

$1,723,607 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Kristi Noem

$21,272,703 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Élise Stefanik

$17,350,472 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Erika Kirk

$6,100,107 Vol.

1%

Market icon

John Thune

$23,572,652 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Mike Pence

$26,560,902 Vol.

1%

Market icon

Steve Bannon

$10,962,097 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$362,222,768
Date de fin
Nov 7, 2028
Marché ouvert
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Résolveur

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 33 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 42%, followed by "Marco Rubio" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028" has generated $362.2 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028," browse the 33 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028" is "J.D. Vance" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Marco Rubio" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Candidat républicain à la présidence 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.