Market icon

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

Market icon

Reconciliation bill passed by...?

$1,749,824 Vol.

May 26, 2025
Polymarket

$1,749,824 Vol.

Polymarket

May 26

$51,334 Vol.

No

June 30

$372,220 Vol.

No

July 2

$102,713 Vol.

No

July 3

$404,335 Vol.

Yes

July 4

$277,738 Vol.

Yes

July 5

$97,624 Vol.

Yes

July 31

$334,277 Vol.

Yes

August 31

$109,584 Vol.

Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by May 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by May 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority.

The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President

The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$1,749,824
Date de fin
May 26, 2025
Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2025, 4:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by May 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

Résultat proposé: No

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by May 26, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 2, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 3, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 4, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if a reconciliation bill is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The bill must be explicitly passed using the budget reconciliation process, which allows for expedited consideration in the Senate and requires only a simple majority. The bill does not need to be signed into law by the President The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.

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Questions fréquentes

« Reconciliation bill passed by...? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « July 3 » à 100%, suivi de « July 4 » à 100%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 100¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Reconciliation bill passed by...? » a généré $1.7 million en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 16, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Reconciliation bill passed by...? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Reconciliation bill passed by...? » est « July 3 » à 100%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 100% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « July 4 » à 100%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Reconciliation bill passed by...? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.