**Traders see a 66% chance Chud the Builder avoids conviction primarily because Tennessee’s felony court calendar moves slowly.** Dalton Eatherly, the controversial IRL streamer known for provocative racial confrontations, was arrested in May 2026 on attempted murder and related firearm charges after a courthouse shooting in Clarksville. A separate Nashville case involving theft of services and disorderly conduct added to the docket. Since his August 2026 release on a $1 million-plus bond (now under house arrest with GPS monitoring and a gun ban), the cases have advanced only to the grand jury stage with no trial date set. Serious felonies like these routinely take 12–18 months or longer to reach verdict, giving the defense strong incentive to extend proceedings. With any resolution deadline likely falling in 2027, the procedural timeline itself tilts the market toward “No,” even as the underlying charges remain serious. Key upcoming catalysts include any grand jury indictments, plea negotiations, or a firm trial setting that could shift sentiment.