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Climat Et Science·Météo

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Market icon
Climat Et Science·Météo

Precipitation in Seoul in March?

Mar 31

Apr 30

Mar 31

Apr 30

30-35 mm 33%

35-40 mm 28%

40-45 mm 20%

60 mm+ 17%

Polymarket

$23,874 Vol.

30-35 mm 33%

35-40 mm 28%

40-45 mm 20%

60 mm+ 17%

Polymarket

$23,874 Vol.

<30 mm

$22,459 Vol.

<1%

30-35 mm

$78 Vol.

33%

35-40 mm

$154 Vol.

24%

40-45 mm

$80 Vol.

20%

45-50 mm

$87 Vol.

6%

50-55 mm

$79 Vol.

8%

55-60 mm

$183 Vol.

12%

60 mm+

$754 Vol.

15%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 30-35mm total precipitation in Seoul for March at 33% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration observations showing intermittent light rain events early and mid-month—on March 2, 3, 5, 6, 15, and 18—amid mostly misty, foggy conditions in the final week with no significant downpours. Accumulated totals trail the 47mm historical March average, as high-pressure systems have suppressed moisture from the Yellow Sea. With just three days left, KMA and ECMWF model consensus forecasts minimal additional rainfall (under 5mm likely), but uncertainty persists from potential late frontal passages or convective showers that could push into 35-40mm or higher bins. Key variables include jet stream positioning and Siberian anticyclone strength; watch daily KMA updates for shifts before month-end resolution at the official Seoul station.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 30-35mm total precipitation in Seoul for March at 33% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration observations showing intermittent light rain events early and mid-month—on March 2, 3, 5, 6, 15, and 18—amid mostly misty, foggy conditions in the final week with no significant downpours. Accumulated totals trail the 47mm historical March average, as high-pressure systems have suppressed moisture from the Yellow Sea. With just three days left, KMA and ECMWF model consensus forecasts minimal additional rainfall (under 5mm likely), but uncertainty persists from potential late frontal passages or convective showers that could push into 35-40mm or higher bins. Key variables include jet stream positioning and Siberian anticyclone strength; watch daily KMA updates for shifts before month-end resolution at the official Seoul station.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in March, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", the region/branch is set for "Seoul", the element is set for "precipitation", and the period is set for the month of March at the https://data.kma.go.kr/climate/RankState/selectRankStatisticsDivisionList.do link once the figure is finalized for the whole month of March 2026. If the relevant data is not available by May 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 30-35mm total precipitation in Seoul for March at 33% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration observations showing intermittent light rain events early and mid-month—on March 2, 3, 5, 6, 15, and 18—amid mostly misty, foggy conditions in the final week with no significant downpours. Accumulated totals trail the 47mm historical March average, as high-pressure systems have suppressed moisture from the Yellow Sea. With just three days left, KMA and ECMWF model consensus forecasts minimal additional rainfall (under 5mm likely), but uncertainty persists from potential late frontal passages or convective showers that could push into 35-40mm or higher bins. Key variables include jet stream positioning and Siberian anticyclone strength; watch daily KMA updates for shifts before month-end resolution at the official Seoul station.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 30-35mm total precipitation in Seoul for March at 33% implied probability, driven by Korea Meteorological Administration observations showing intermittent light rain events early and mid-month—on March 2, 3, 5, 6, 15, and 18—amid mostly misty, foggy conditions in the final week with no significant downpours. Accumulated totals trail the 47mm historical March average, as high-pressure systems have suppressed moisture from the Yellow Sea. With just three days left, KMA and ECMWF model consensus forecasts minimal additional rainfall (under 5mm likely), but uncertainty persists from potential late frontal passages or convective showers that could push into 35-40mm or higher bins. Key variables include jet stream positioning and Siberian anticyclone strength; watch daily KMA updates for shifts before month-end resolution at the official Seoul station.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

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Questions fréquentes

« Precipitation in Seoul in March? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 8 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 30-35 mm » à 33%, suivi de « 35-40 mm » à 24%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 33¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Precipitation in Seoul in March? » a généré $23.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Precipitation in Seoul in March? », parcourez les 8 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Precipitation in Seoul in March? » est « 30-35 mm » à 33%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 33% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 35-40 mm » à 24%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Precipitation in Seoul in March? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.