Market icon

Pic de la dette nationale des États-Unis cette année ?

Market icon

Pic de la dette nationale des États-Unis cette année ?

$131,449 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$131,449 Vol.

Polymarket

37 000 milliards de dollars

$36,937 Vol.

Oui

38 000 milliards de dollars

$41,002 Vol.

Oui

39 000 milliards de dollars

$44,851 Vol.

Non

40 000 milliards de dollars

$8,660 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
Volume
$131,449
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Jul 8, 2025, 7:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. national debt reaches the listed value this year at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Treasury Department (https://www.treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current). If treasurydirect.gov/NP_WS/debt/current becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Pic de la dette nationale des États-Unis cette année ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "37 000 milliards de dollars" at 100%, followed by "38 000 milliards de dollars" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pic de la dette nationale des États-Unis cette année ?" has generated $131.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pic de la dette nationale des États-Unis cette année ?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pic de la dette nationale des États-Unis cette année ?" is "37 000 milliards de dollars" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "38 000 milliards de dollars" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pic de la dette nationale des États-Unis cette année ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.