Trader sentiment on OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap reflects deep uncertainty, with market-implied odds closely split between a 750B–1T valuation (33%) and no listing by December 31, 2027 (31%), driven by the firm's record $120 billion funding round closed March 24 at an $850 billion post-money valuation—exceeding its $100 billion target via commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, SoftBank, and others. This capital influx from February's $110 billion raise alleviates near-term liquidity pressures despite projected 2026 cash burn of $19 billion on $25 billion revenue, yet profitability remains elusive until at least 2030 amid fierce competition from Anthropic and regulatory scrutiny over Microsoft ties and AI safety. Recent hires like a former DocuSign CFO for investor relations and SoftBank's $40 billion loan signal Q4 2026 IPO preparations, but enterprise joint ventures and cost cuts (e.g., Sora shutdown) underscore execution risks that could sway outcomes toward lower brackets or delay.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour1,5 T$+ 27%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant le 31 décembre 2027 22%
1 billion–1,25 billion 17%
<500 Md$ 7%
$13,675 Vol.
$13,675 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500 Md$
7%
500–750 Md$
-
750 Md$–1 Bn$
34%
1 billion–1,25 billion
17%
1,25 B–1,5 B
16%
1,5 T$+
27%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant le 31 décembre 2027
31%
1,5 T$+ 27%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant le 31 décembre 2027 22%
1 billion–1,25 billion 17%
<500 Md$ 7%
$13,675 Vol.
$13,675 Vol.
Dec 31, 2027
<500 Md$
$0 Vol.
7%
500–750 Md$
$0 Vol.
-
750 Md$–1 Bn$
$37 Vol.
34%
1 billion–1,25 billion
$2,790 Vol.
17%
1,25 B–1,5 B
$105 Vol.
16%
1,5 T$+
$0 Vol.
27%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant le 31 décembre 2027
$10,742 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader sentiment on OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap reflects deep uncertainty, with market-implied odds closely split between a 750B–1T valuation (33%) and no listing by December 31, 2027 (31%), driven by the firm's record $120 billion funding round closed March 24 at an $850 billion post-money valuation—exceeding its $100 billion target via commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, SoftBank, and others. This capital influx from February's $110 billion raise alleviates near-term liquidity pressures despite projected 2026 cash burn of $19 billion on $25 billion revenue, yet profitability remains elusive until at least 2030 amid fierce competition from Anthropic and regulatory scrutiny over Microsoft ties and AI safety. Recent hires like a former DocuSign CFO for investor relations and SoftBank's $40 billion loan signal Q4 2026 IPO preparations, but enterprise joint ventures and cost cuts (e.g., Sora shutdown) underscore execution risks that could sway outcomes toward lower brackets or delay.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Volume
$13,675Date de fin
Dec 31, 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader sentiment on OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap reflects deep uncertainty, with market-implied odds closely split between a 750B–1T valuation (33%) and no listing by December 31, 2027 (31%), driven by the firm's record $120 billion funding round closed March 24 at an $850 billion post-money valuation—exceeding its $100 billion target via commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, SoftBank, and others. This capital influx from February's $110 billion raise alleviates near-term liquidity pressures despite projected 2026 cash burn of $19 billion on $25 billion revenue, yet profitability remains elusive until at least 2030 amid fierce competition from Anthropic and regulatory scrutiny over Microsoft ties and AI safety. Recent hires like a former DocuSign CFO for investor relations and SoftBank's $40 billion loan signal Q4 2026 IPO preparations, but enterprise joint ventures and cost cuts (e.g., Sora shutdown) underscore execution risks that could sway outcomes toward lower brackets or delay.
This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$13,675Date de fin
Dec 31, 2027Marché ouvert
Feb 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader sentiment on OpenAI's potential IPO closing market cap reflects deep uncertainty, with market-implied odds closely split between a 750B–1T valuation (33%) and no listing by December 31, 2027 (31%), driven by the firm's record $120 billion funding round closed March 24 at an $850 billion post-money valuation—exceeding its $100 billion target via commitments from Amazon, Nvidia, SoftBank, and others. This capital influx from February's $110 billion raise alleviates near-term liquidity pressures despite projected 2026 cash burn of $19 billion on $25 billion revenue, yet profitability remains elusive until at least 2030 amid fierce competition from Anthropic and regulatory scrutiny over Microsoft ties and AI safety. Recent hires like a former DocuSign CFO for investor relations and SoftBank's $40 billion loan signal Q4 2026 IPO preparations, but enterprise joint ventures and cost cuts (e.g., Sora shutdown) underscore execution risks that could sway outcomes toward lower brackets or delay.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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