Trader consensus prices 17-17.5 million passengers at 82% implied probability for TSA checkpoint throughput April 13-19, driven by cumulative screening numbers totaling 9.64 million through April 16—anchored by weekend highs of 2.61 million on Sunday the 13th and 2.74 million on Wednesday the 16th amid sustained spring break demand. The remaining Thursday-Saturday period requires daily averages near 2.45 million to hit the range, aligning with recent patterns of 2.2-2.8 million despite 8-13% year-over-year declines and post-Easter normalization. Elevated 17.5-18 million odds at 26% reflect potential weekend surges, while lower buckets fade absent disruptions like weather or flight cuts. Final tallies expected via TSA's daily reports by week's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour17-17.5m 93%
16.5-17m 43.4%
17.5-18m 10%
<16.5m 1.8%
$10,187 Vol.
$10,187 Vol.
<16.5m
2%
16.5-17m
22%
17-17.5m
82%
17.5-18m
21%
18-18.5m
1%
>18.5m
<1%
17-17.5m 93%
16.5-17m 43.4%
17.5-18m 10%
<16.5m 1.8%
$10,187 Vol.
$10,187 Vol.
<16.5m
2%
16.5-17m
22%
17-17.5m
82%
17.5-18m
21%
18-18.5m
1%
>18.5m
<1%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Marché ouvert : Apr 10, 2026, 4:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from April 13, 2026 to April 19, 2026 by May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus prices 17-17.5 million passengers at 82% implied probability for TSA checkpoint throughput April 13-19, driven by cumulative screening numbers totaling 9.64 million through April 16—anchored by weekend highs of 2.61 million on Sunday the 13th and 2.74 million on Wednesday the 16th amid sustained spring break demand. The remaining Thursday-Saturday period requires daily averages near 2.45 million to hit the range, aligning with recent patterns of 2.2-2.8 million despite 8-13% year-over-year declines and post-Easter normalization. Elevated 17.5-18 million odds at 26% reflect potential weekend surges, while lower buckets fade absent disruptions like weather or flight cuts. Final tallies expected via TSA's daily reports by week's end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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