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Prochaine frappe américaine sur la Syrie le...?

Market icon

Prochaine frappe américaine sur la Syrie le...?

19 décembre 100.0%

13 décembre <1%

14 décembre <1%

15 décembre <1%

Polymarket

$1,107,488 Vol.

19 décembre 100.0%

13 décembre <1%

14 décembre <1%

15 décembre <1%

Polymarket

$1,107,488 Vol.

13 décembre

$65,365 Vol.

Non

14 décembre

$53,638 Vol.

Non

15 décembre

$38,779 Vol.

Non

16 décembre

$38,311 Vol.

Non

17 décembre

$69,715 Vol.

Non

18 décembre

$33,147 Vol.

Non

19 décembre

$56,221 Vol.

Oui

20 décembre

$81,577 Vol.

Non

21 décembre

$87,335 Vol.

Non

22 décembre

$29,770 Vol.

Non

23 décembre

$70,487 Vol.

Non

24 décembre

$159,684 Vol.

Non

25 décembre

$36,767 Vol.

Non

26 décembre

$23,995 Vol.

Non

27 décembre

$31,053 Vol.

Non

28 décembre

$27,473 Vol.

Non

29 décembre

$21,173 Vol.

Non

30 décembre

$65,265 Vol.

Non

31 décembre

$29,646 Vol.

Non

Aucune frappe des États-Unis sur la Syrie en 2025

$88,090 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any official Syrian embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET).

For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage.

Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$1,107,488
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Marché ouvert
Dec 13, 2025, 4:25 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the next date (ET) the US initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Syrian soil or any official Syrian embassy or consulate by the listed date (ET). For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact Syrian ground territory or any official Syrian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Syrian soil is hit by an US missile, this market will resolve to "Yes"). Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Syrian territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Résultat proposé: Non

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Non

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Prochaine frappe américaine sur la Syrie le...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "19 décembre" at 100%, followed by "13 décembre" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Prochaine frappe américaine sur la Syrie le...?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Prochaine frappe américaine sur la Syrie le...?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Prochaine frappe américaine sur la Syrie le...?" is "19 décembre" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "13 décembre" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Prochaine frappe américaine sur la Syrie le...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.