Name: Un nouvel Air Force One en 2025 ?
Start: 2025-02-20T20:39:04.502339Z
End: 2025-12-31T12:00:00Z

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if a new Air Force One aircraft is put into official service by the US Air Force between February 19 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Air Force One" refers to any aircraft built to replace one or both of the VC-25s presently used as the primary presidential aircrafts.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Un nouvel Air Force One en 2025 ?

President Donald Trump has acquired a $400 million luxury Boeing 747, previously owned by Qatar, to serve as a temporary Air Force One while awaiting upgrades to the original aircraft. The U.S. Air Force is also pushing to accelerate delivery of a redesigned Air Force One before 2029, aligning with Trump's demands for a new jet.

Qatar Offers Trump Jet

Trump is purchasing a $400M jet to serve as a temporary Air Force One while waiting for the original Air Force One to be upgraded. He’s spending more to upgrade his latest purchase.

But you need to be ok with fewer toys! 

#DemsUnited #wtpBlueResists https://t.co/HSwU8uoy4j

BREAKING: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth cancels Israel trip to join Trump on Air Force One

President Trump is getting a new Air Force One.

Boeing may deliver the new Air Force One jets by 2027, two years earlier than projected.

"We are absolutely committed to delivering an aircraft with the communications and defensive capabilities required for presidential https://t.co/qhpnO7LGiJ

This Boeing 747-8KB BBJ previously used by King of Qatar, Sheikh Tamim is now procured by #Trump to be turned into his Air Force One aircraft by the L3Harris. I photographed it when Tamim and his family used it for their trips to various European capital cities. My photos 👇 https://t.co/pewbO5wXzB

US Air Force is pushing to speed up the delivery of new Air Force One as Trump pushes for redesigned aircraft before 2029.

https://t.co/QrcKrUmLu5

President Donald Trump has accepted a luxury Boeing 747-8 jet from Qatar as a temporary Air Force One, sparking controversy over national security and ethical concerns. Critics argue this move undermines American values and poses potential risks, while supporters highlight the cost-saving aspect amidst delays in Boeing's delivery of a new fleet.

Trump Accepts Qatar Jet

President Trump has accepted this luxury 747 from Qatar for use as Air Force One.

He got this beast for the US for free.

Democrats are complaining.

https://t.co/OJwceNcKzY

.@POTUS: "We're very disappointed that it's taking Boeing so long to build a new Air Force One. We have an Air Force One that is 40 years old... if we can get a 747 as a contribution to our Defense Department to use during a couple of years while they're building the other ones, https://t.co/YVnquDUcyI

Nothing about getting Air Force One from a foreign government feels right.  It may be legal, but I wouldn’t do it. 

Air Force One should be American through and through. It shouldn’t pass through foreign hands and it shouldn’t be a gift from a King.

Don’t do it.

Trump’s new Air Force One, a gift (bribe) from a foreign country (Qatar) that funds Hamas. Where’s the outrage you spineless Republican cowards? 😡 https://t.co/ZzkXGAxUac

🚨 NOW: President Trump boards Air Force One on the way to Saudi Arabia for his FIRST trip to the Middle East as 47.

He’ll also he visiting Qatar and the UAE this week.

Pray for President Trump’s safety abroad 🙏🏻  https://t.co/88gxe2tLVt

BOEING CAN'T BUILD A NEW AIR FORCE ONE.

That's the buried lede. It's the central problem.

Using a Qatar-gifted plane as Air Force One is a national security nightmare and utter embarrassment.

🚨 Breaking: First photo of the new Air Force One gifted to Trump 👇

Beware of Qataris bearing gifts. https://t.co/ElalbIUGPR

This is the new Air Force One that Trump was able to get free of charge — the “palace of the sky”

Thing is incredible. No American President should be flying on an aircraft as old as the current AF1. https://t.co/gmCdQTU9Zp

Air Force One MUST be Built in America and By America.

Who else agrees? https://t.co/w37RUf4fBH

Qatar paid and housed Hamas leadership for years and now we are taking a new Air Force One from them?

Trump’s first misstep… https://t.co/dfFSCq8uBj

Democrats like Rep. Dan Goldman (D-N.Y.) claim a Qatar Boeing 747-8 jet for Air Force One violates the Foreign Emoluments Clause. This ignores the deal’s structure.
The jet is offered to the U.S. Air Force, not Trump personally, for official use.

The White House and DOJ say this https://t.co/0KSrNETf2u

Donald Trump confirma que Qatar le va a regalar un Boeing 747 con configuración interior de  "super-lujo". 

Ese avión será el nuevo Air Force One. 

Un 747 es muy caro. Pero comprarte a un presidente de EEUU nunca había salido tan barato. https://t.co/dWMhF6CQX8

Out of curiosity, how long do you think it will take L3Harris to gut a 747, upgrade avionics, install an executive-level medical bay, and equip it with the myriad communications equipment and defensive countermeasures that Air Force One requires?

I’d guess 2-3 years, minimum. https://t.co/v0WWoX2Rtv

"You're ABC fake news, right? – You should be embarrassed asking that question."

President Trump claps back at a reporter questioning him on Qatar’s offer to gift a jumbo jet to be used for Air Force One. https://t.co/3CdCqCi0qi

Air Force One, Brought to You by Qatar.

Editorial today in @TheFP about this $400 million "gift" and the Trump family business.

https://t.co/JfdSOjnvI1

An American President is going to turn a foreign luxury plane from Qatar into Air Force One. And then he’s going to keep the $400 million gift after he leaves office. It’s a disgrace to our country and a potential national security risk. Our Oversight Committee must investigate.

Trump plans to accept luxury Boeing 747 gift from Qatar to use as Air Force One

https://t.co/oxI2eIxJNN https://t.co/TKePjpzHzN

Politics aside,how can the Qatar Boeing 747 be used as an interim Air Force One? https://t.co/tHThI9OrUO

BREAKING: Trump issues a new statement on potentially accepting a free, massive Boeing jet for a temporary Air Force One from Qatar.

He said there is a huge discrepancy right now with the current AF1 and other countries' planes, making America look way behind.

"I think this is https://t.co/YSM4264Eb4

Potential Charges for Dem Reps, New Air Force One Reporting, Pope's First Message

AM Update for May 12 - featuring guest hosts Yates, Yardley, and Thatcher: https://t.co/fVS0yx0Rbq

AMERICA FIRST! Trump reportedly secured a luxury 747 from Qatar at ZERO COST to taxpayers for use as Air Force One!

Meanwhile, Biden wasted BILLIONS on new planes with endless delays.

THE ART OF THE DEAL!
https://t.co/wvucFIVLmW

Do you support Trump accepting a 747 from Qatar for use as Air Force One? https://t.co/JD0wRjMQ4l

Trump defends Qatar jumbo jet offer as troubled Boeing fails to deliver new Air Force One fleet https://t.co/ZCX2OEEIZy

Donald Trump is once again trying to defend accepting bribes from foreign figures.

In an angry post on Truth Social Sunday night, Trump claimed he’d done nothing wrong by accepting a $400 luxury jet from the Qatari royal family to replace Air Force One. 
https://t.co/D3LDzSx9A0

NEW from @MarcACaputo: The U.S. and Qatar were bargaining over the price for a "palace in the sky" Boeing 747-8 to be used as the new Air Force One — and Qatar "came back and said: 'We'll just gift it. It's OK, '" according to a top source. https://t.co/uZ2Y3XYDng

Take a tour of the luxury Boeing 747-8 jumbo jet that the Qatar royal family is reportedly planning to give Trump to use as Air Force One. https://t.co/lIBS2sWm0F

President Donald Trump is embroiled in controversy over a $400 million luxury jet from Qatar, intended for use as Air Force One, with the deal not yet finalized due to legal and ethical concerns. Critics label it as potential corruption, citing conflicts of interest and national security risks, while the administration's claims of it being a gift to America are under scrutiny.

Trump's Qatar Jet Controversy

Breaking news: Qatar has asked the U.S. to clarify that the pending transfer of a luxury jetliner President Trump wants for Air Force One was initiated by the administration and that Qatar was not responsible for any future transfers, officials said. https://t.co/aI39BHbbkW

The new 747s from Boeing are set to be delivered in 2027—just two years from now. There’s zero chance this Qatar plane is ready by then.

So let’s be real: taxpayers are going to spend $1 billion retrofitting a jet that will never serve as Air Force One. It’ll just sit in Trump’s https://t.co/btIR02OYQT

🚨 BREAKING REBONDISSEMENT🚨
L'affaire de l'avion "gratuit offert par le Qatar "pour Air Force One n'est pas réglée : on apprend que l’accord n’est ni finalisé ni légalement clair.
➡️ Il semble qu'au final, ce serait un achat des US, qui a été maquillé en "don", suscitant des

NEW: We're requesting records from DOJ about President Trump's Qatari jet scheme, including the memo signing off on it and ethics guidance on AG Pam Bondi's involvement.

Given Bondi's work as a foreign agent of Qatar, the public should see the records. https://t.co/CByalOe8Xy

Trump calls it a “gift to America.” I call it what it is: a $400 million bribe disguised as a jet, that he keeps.  Paid for by Qatar and US taxpayers, owned by Trump.  Corruption at 35,000 feet: (full video in reply) https://t.co/GumS0eArOD

Scoop: Trump’s AF1 deal with Qatar has not been finalized despite the administration's claims. Qatar is asking the US to clarify that the deal for the luxury jet was initiated by the US and that Qatar is not responsible for any future transfers of the plane https://t.co/58WIYTN3uT

It was Trump who stuck up Qatar to deliver a luxury jet for his personal post-presidential use and that of his heirs, extortion not bribery https://t.co/nJXAyyZes2

Between the Qatar jet scheme and crypto dinner, the Trump administration is making clear that avoiding conflicts of interest and corruption is not a priority. We won't let that fly.
https://t.co/BwzgkDCtFs

The irony? He said this in Qatar, the country that gifted his father a $400 million jet, where the Trump Org is building a luxury golf resort, and which was one of the first foreign countries Trump visited after taking office https://t.co/IH28nBuMbm

U.S. Rep. Ashley Hinson (R-IA) gets into a spat with her constituents during a town hall while defending President Donald Trump accepting a luxury jet from Qatar.

"When you look at what happened with that plane, everything was followed ethically." https://t.co/SVcVLcLvkp

On PBS NewsHour, CREW's President Noah Bookbinder calls out President Trump's corrupt Qatari jet scheme. 

Trump’s plan to accept a $400 million luxury jet from Qatar for use as Air Force 1 raises serious corruption and national security risks. https://t.co/sIkF3zgESN

BREAKING: Despite previous claims from the Department of Defense that the United States has officially accepted the luxury Boeing 747-8 jumbo jet from Qatar, the U.S. and Qatar have not yet finalized the details of the agreement, sources said. https://t.co/cbSaZNF83A

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump visitera-t-il la Chine d'ici le 30 avril ?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the listed state between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial territory of the listed state. Whether or not Trump enters the state’s airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from the government of the United States of America, official information from Trump, or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., https://twitter.com/POTUS); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Donald Trump visitera-t-il l'Iowa en 2026 ?

If U.S. President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump ira-t-il au Groenland d'ici le 31 mars ?

If Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu visits New York City by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Netanyahu physically entering the terrestrial territory of New York City, and setting foot on the ground. Whether or not Netanyahu enters New York City's airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Israel, the United States, or New York City, or official information from Netanyahu or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/netanyahu); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Netanyahu visitera-t-il New York avant le 31 mars ?

If the listed individual visits Venezuela between market creation and March 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as the individual physically entering the terrestrial territory of Venezuela. Whether or not the individual enters Venezuelan airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Charles Myers visitera-t-il le Venezuela d'ici le 31 mars 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."

For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Trump démissionnera-t-il d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

On August 15, 2025, U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin met in person at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson near Anchorage, Alaska, for a summit focused on potential peace terms in Ukraine. 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vladimir Putin meets with Donald Trump on a separate occasion from the August 15, 2025 meeting by the listed date (ET).  Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Encounters that are part of, or a continuation of, the August 15 meeting will not qualify, even if they occur on a different day (e.g. August 16).

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Putin and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Trump meet with Putin by March 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement on nuclear arms control or strategic nuclear weapons limitation is reached between the United States and the Russian Federation between December 9, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Only agreements that are publicly announced and acknowledged by both the U.S. and Russia will qualify. The agreement must pertain to nuclear arms control or limitation—such as a treaty, framework, or memorandum—addressing matters including (but not limited to) nuclear warheads, delivery systems, verification mechanisms, or strategic stability.

An extension, amendment, or replacement of the New START treaty will qualify, provided it is publicly announced as a concluded agreement by both parties within the time frame. Exploratory discussions or stated intent to extend without a finalized agreement will not qualify.

Agreements that include both the United States and Russia as named parties—whether bilateral or as part of a broader multilateral framework—will qualify, provided the agreement directly addresses nuclear arms control.

The agreement does not need to be ratified or implemented for this market to resolve "Yes"; a formal announcement of a concluded agreement is sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the U.S. government (e.g., the White House, State Department) and/or the Russian Federation (e.g., the Kremlin, Ministry of Foreign Affairs). However, a clear and overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that such an agreement has been reached will also qualify.

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30?

Donald Trump is scheduled to deliver the 2026 State of the Union address on February 24. You can read more about that here: https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his appearance at the specified event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market is explicitly about Donald Trump's scheduled delivery of the 2026 State of the Union address. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.

Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?

Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?

Will Trump say "Biden" during the State of the Union address?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping meets with Cheng Li-wun by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Xi Jinping and Cheng Li-wun are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Xi Jinping rencontrera-t-il Cheng Li-wun d'ici le 30 juin ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Khamenei visits Russia by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "visit" is defined as Ali Khamenei physically entering the terrestrial territory of Russia in a voluntary capacity. Whether or not Ali Khamenei enters Russian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

Entering Russia requires physically entering sovereign Russian territory, including all Russian federal subjects and territories. Areas under Russian control but not under Russian sovereignty (e.g., Crimea) do not count. Russian airspace, Russian embassies/consulates abroad, and international zones do not constitute Russian sovereign territory.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Khamenei visitera-t-il la Russie d'ici le 31 mars ?

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Reza Pahlavi entrera-t-il en Iran d'ici le 30 juin ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Les élections de mi-mandat de 2026 auront-elles lieu comme prévu ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Too Big To Rig" this week? (January 25)

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Les États-Unis confirmeront-ils l'existence d'extraterrestres avant 2027 ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between January 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

AI-generated audio or video will not count towards the resolution of this market.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Will Trump say "Truth Social" in January?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of the United States and Russia between January 6 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between U.S. and Russian military forces. Non-violent actions, such as airspace violations, firing of warning shots (such as the June, 2021 Black Sea Confrontations between Russian forces and HMS Defender), or cyberattacks will not qualify. 

Intentional physical collisions, including aerial interceptions and naval ramming without the direct use of weaponry, such as the 2023 Black Sea incident—where a Russian Su-27 damaged a U.S. MQ-9 Reaper drone's propeller, leading to its crash— will not qualify regardless of damage. 

Military contractors will qualify only if confirmed to be operating under the direct command or coordination of the respective state’s armed forces (e.g. the Battle of Khasham would not qualify).

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Affrontement militaire États-Unis x Russie d'ici le 31 décembre 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.  

Vacance à la Cour suprême en 2026 ?

An interview of Donald Trump by Katie Pavlich on "Katie Pavlich Tonight" is scheduled to air on January 20, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/NewsNation/status/2012890752905363662

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this interview is definitively cancelled by Donald Trump or NewsNation, or otherwise is not released by January 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point.

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during NewsNation interview?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Trump impeached by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and the United States between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and United States military forces. Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.

Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the Chinese military and the United States Coast Guard is part of the United States military.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Affrontement militaire entre les États-Unis et la Chine avant 2027 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Cuban land territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Cuba or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Les États-Unis vont-ils envahir Cuba en 2026 ?

An interview of Donald Trump by Joe Kernen is scheduled to air on January 21, 2026. You can read more about that here: https://x.com/CNBC/status/2012167755407999076

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during this interview. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Trump is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this interview is definitively cancelled by Donald Trump or CNBC, or otherwise is not released by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the interview has not aired in its entirety by January 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point.

The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution. Transcripts will not count.

Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during CNBC interview?

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Kristi Noem destituée en 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kim Keon Hee is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, including but not limited to allegations of stock price manipulation, bribery, election interference, abuse of power, or criminal acts related to Yoon Suk Yeol’s martial law declaration and related subsequent actions, by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will remain open through March 31, 2026 or until Kim Keon Hee is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the South Korean government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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