Trader consensus prices Democrats at 94.3% to win the Massachusetts gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's entrenched Democratic dominance, with registered Democrats holding a roughly 3-to-1 advantage over Republicans and controlling every statewide office since Geoff Diehl's 64%-35% loss to Maura Healey in 2022. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days amid an early-stage race featuring a crowded Democratic primary—potential contenders include Treasurer Deb Goldberg and Attorney General Andrea Campbell—while Republicans lack a clear frontrunner. Structural factors like incumbency strength (if Healey seeks re-election) and historical base rates favor Democrats, though a national Republican wave, Democratic scandals, or a moderate GOP nominee could challenge this positioning ahead of September 2026 primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Massachusetts
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Massachusetts
$12,699 Vol.
$12,699 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
94%
Républicain
6%
$12,699 Vol.
$12,699 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Démocrate
$4,372 Vol.
94%
Républicain
$8,327 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Democrats at 94.3% to win the Massachusetts gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's entrenched Democratic dominance, with registered Democrats holding a roughly 3-to-1 advantage over Republicans and controlling every statewide office since Geoff Diehl's 64%-35% loss to Maura Healey in 2022. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days amid an early-stage race featuring a crowded Democratic primary—potential contenders include Treasurer Deb Goldberg and Attorney General Andrea Campbell—while Republicans lack a clear frontrunner. Structural factors like incumbency strength (if Healey seeks re-election) and historical base rates favor Democrats, though a national Republican wave, Democratic scandals, or a moderate GOP nominee could challenge this positioning ahead of September 2026 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$12,699Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus prices Democrats at 94.3% to win the Massachusetts gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's entrenched Democratic dominance, with registered Democrats holding a roughly 3-to-1 advantage over Republicans and controlling every statewide office since Geoff Diehl's 64%-35% loss to Maura Healey in 2022. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days amid an early-stage race featuring a crowded Democratic primary—potential contenders include Treasurer Deb Goldberg and Attorney General Andrea Campbell—while Republicans lack a clear frontrunner. Structural factors like incumbency strength (if Healey seeks re-election) and historical base rates favor Democrats, though a national Republican wave, Democratic scandals, or a moderate GOP nominee could challenge this positioning ahead of September 2026 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Massachusetts gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$12,699Date de fin
Nov 3, 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democrats at 94.3% to win the Massachusetts gubernatorial election on November 3, 2026, reflecting the state's entrenched Democratic dominance, with registered Democrats holding a roughly 3-to-1 advantage over Republicans and controlling every statewide office since Geoff Diehl's 64%-35% loss to Maura Healey in 2022. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days amid an early-stage race featuring a crowded Democratic primary—potential contenders include Treasurer Deb Goldberg and Attorney General Andrea Campbell—while Republicans lack a clear frontrunner. Structural factors like incumbency strength (if Healey seeks re-election) and historical base rates favor Democrats, though a national Republican wave, Democratic scandals, or a moderate GOP nominee could challenge this positioning ahead of September 2026 primaries.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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