Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X account during April 10-17, 2026, at 100%, driven by verified minimal activity—just one post on April 13 reposting a 1995 statement on Prophet Jesus amid regional tensions—following his reported martyrdom in U.S.-Israeli strikes in February 2026. The account's bio now honors him as the "martyred Leader," shifting to archival shares with sporadic frequency, exacerbated by successor Mojtaba Khamenei's reported severe injuries and conflicting health updates from early April, limiting official output. With resolution imminent at April 17, 12:00 PM ET, only an improbable surge of 4+ additional posts in final hours could challenge this lock-in.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourKhamenei # posts 10 avril - 17 avril 2026 ?
Khamenei # posts 10 avril - 17 avril 2026 ?
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$15,044 Vol.
$15,044 Vol.
<5
Oui
5-9
Non
10-14
Non
15-19
Non
20-24
Non
25-29
Non
30-34
Non
35-39
Non
40-44
Non
45-49
Non
50-54
Non
55-59
Non
60+
Non
<5 100.0%
5-9 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$15,044 Vol.
$15,044 Vol.
<5
Oui
5-9
Non
10-14
Non
15-19
Non
20-24
Non
25-29
Non
30-34
Non
35-39
Non
40-44
Non
45-49
Non
50-54
Non
55-59
Non
60+
Non
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices fewer than 5 posts from Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's @khamenei_ir X account during April 10-17, 2026, at 100%, driven by verified minimal activity—just one post on April 13 reposting a 1995 statement on Prophet Jesus amid regional tensions—following his reported martyrdom in U.S.-Israeli strikes in February 2026. The account's bio now honors him as the "martyred Leader," shifting to archival shares with sporadic frequency, exacerbated by successor Mojtaba Khamenei's reported severe injuries and conflicting health updates from early April, limiting official output. With resolution imminent at April 17, 12:00 PM ET, only an improbable surge of 4+ additional posts in final hours could challenge this lock-in.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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