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Accès à Internet rétabli en Iran d'ici vendredi ?

Market icon

Accès à Internet rétabli en Iran d'ici vendredi ?

Oui

>99% chance
Polymarket

$401,407 Vol.

Oui

>99% chance
Polymarket

$401,407 Vol.

On January 8, 2026, a nationwide and ongoing internet blackout began in Iran amid continuing protests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by January 23, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “internet access is restored” means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have recovered to at least 20% of the prior 4-weeks Max for a minimum of four consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart.

Only the first of the four consecutive qualifying hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir); however, in case the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$401,407
Date de fin
Jan 23, 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 20, 2026, 8:10 AM ET
On January 8, 2026, a nationwide and ongoing internet blackout began in Iran amid continuing protests. This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by January 23, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “internet access is restored” means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have recovered to at least 20% of the prior 4-weeks Max for a minimum of four consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart. Only the first of the four consecutive qualifying hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed. The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir); however, in case the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

On January 8, 2026, a nationwide and ongoing internet blackout began in Iran amid continuing protests.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by January 23, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market, “internet access is restored” means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have recovered to at least 20% of the prior 4-weeks Max for a minimum of four consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart.

Only the first of the four consecutive qualifying hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir); however, in case the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$401,407
Date de fin
Jan 23, 2026
Marché ouvert
Jan 20, 2026, 8:10 AM ET
On January 8, 2026, a nationwide and ongoing internet blackout began in Iran amid continuing protests. This market will resolve to “Yes” if internet access in Iran is restored by January 23, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, “internet access is restored” means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have recovered to at least 20% of the prior 4-weeks Max for a minimum of four consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart. Only the first of the four consecutive qualifying hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until all qualifying data points are observed. The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir); however, in case the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Accès à Internet rétabli en Iran d'ici vendredi ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "L’accès à Internet sera-t-il rétabli en Iran d’ici vendredi ?" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Accès à Internet rétabli en Iran d'ici vendredi ?" has generated $401.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 20, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Accès à Internet rétabli en Iran d'ici vendredi ?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Accès à Internet rétabli en Iran d'ici vendredi ?" is "L’accès à Internet sera-t-il rétabli en Iran d’ici vendredi ?" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Accès à Internet rétabli en Iran d'ici vendredi ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.