The Iranian Rial's ongoing depreciation against the USD, with black market rates recently exceeding 65,000 IRR per dollar, reflects persistent US sanctions limiting oil exports, hyperinflation exceeding 40%, and regional tensions including Israeli airstrikes on Iranian targets in Syria earlier this month. Traders weigh these pressures against potential diplomatic de-escalation or sanctions relief via nuclear talks, though no breakthroughs have emerged in the past 30 days. By March 31 resolution, key catalysts include US Treasury actions on Iranian shippers, fluctuations in global oil prices, and any escalation in Israel-Iran shadow conflicts; historical patterns show rapid shifts from such geopolitical events often drive further weakening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour$351,460 Vol.
↑ 1,8M
9%
↑ 1,7M
17%
↑ 1.6M
28%
↓ 1,4M
4%
↓ 1,3M
6%
$351,460 Vol.
↑ 1,8M
9%
↑ 1,7M
17%
↑ 1.6M
28%
↓ 1,4M
4%
↓ 1,3M
6%
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the March 31, 2026, exchange rate data is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Marché ouvert : Mar 2, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...The Iranian Rial's ongoing depreciation against the USD, with black market rates recently exceeding 65,000 IRR per dollar, reflects persistent US sanctions limiting oil exports, hyperinflation exceeding 40%, and regional tensions including Israeli airstrikes on Iranian targets in Syria earlier this month. Traders weigh these pressures against potential diplomatic de-escalation or sanctions relief via nuclear talks, though no breakthroughs have emerged in the past 30 days. By March 31 resolution, key catalysts include US Treasury actions on Iranian shippers, fluctuations in global oil prices, and any escalation in Israel-Iran shadow conflicts; historical patterns show rapid shifts from such geopolitical events often drive further weakening.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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