Iranian Kurdish opposition parties, including those in the February 2026 Coalition of Political Forces of Iranian Kurdistan, have focused statements and planning on self-determination, regime change, and a democratic administrative system for Kurdish-majority areas inside a post-regime Iran rather than outright secession. No group has issued a formal independence declaration or asserted exclusive territorial control ahead of the market's June 2026 resolution window. Sustained Iranian security operations, limited external backing for partition, and opposition from neighbors such as Turkey and Iraq reinforce trader consensus at 96.9% on No. A sudden regime collapse creating a power vacuum or major shift in coalition objectives could still open pathways to such a declaration.