Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 39.5%, reflecting no official reports of finalized approvals or completed $1 million payments since the program's late-2025 launch via executive order, despite over 70,000 applications logged by early March. A federal lawsuit filed February 3 by the American Association of University Professors against DHS alleges the immigrant investor program unlawfully repurposes congressionally limited EB-1 and EB-2 visas as pay-to-play schemes, prioritizing wealth over merit and potentially facing injunctions. Processing delays at USCIS, competition from cheaper EB-5 options, and legal uncertainty sustain low-volume buckets like 1-100 at 17.4%, with court developments key to shifting odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourCombien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ?
Combien de cartes d'or Trump vendra-t-il en 2026 ?
0 45%
1-100 17.4%
25k-100k 7.1%
10k-25k 6.7%
$131,524 Vol.
$131,524 Vol.
0
40%
1-100
17%
101-1 000
4%
1 000 à 2 500
6%
2,5k-5k
5%
5k-10k
6%
10k-25k
7%
25k-100k
7%
>100k
6%
0 45%
1-100 17.4%
25k-100k 7.1%
10k-25k 6.7%
$131,524 Vol.
$131,524 Vol.
0
40%
1-100
17%
101-1 000
4%
1 000 à 2 500
6%
2,5k-5k
5%
5k-10k
6%
10k-25k
7%
25k-100k
7%
>100k
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards sold in 2026 at 39.5%, reflecting no official reports of finalized approvals or completed $1 million payments since the program's late-2025 launch via executive order, despite over 70,000 applications logged by early March. A federal lawsuit filed February 3 by the American Association of University Professors against DHS alleges the immigrant investor program unlawfully repurposes congressionally limited EB-1 and EB-2 visas as pay-to-play schemes, prioritizing wealth over merit and potentially facing injunctions. Processing delays at USCIS, competition from cheaper EB-5 options, and legal uncertainty sustain low-volume buckets like 1-100 at 17.4%, with court developments key to shifting odds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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