Market icon

Jusqu'où le rendement des Treasuries à 10 ans descendra-t-il en 2025 ?

Market icon

Jusqu'où le rendement des Treasuries à 10 ans descendra-t-il en 2025 ?

$1,100,397 Vol.

Dec 31, 2025
Polymarket

$1,100,397 Vol.

Polymarket

4,0 %

$214,919 Vol.

Oui

3,9 %

$32,244 Vol.

Non

3,8 %

$13,496 Vol.

Non

3,7 %

$10,213 Vol.

Non

3,6 %

$17,101 Vol.

Non

3,5 %

$462,391 Vol.

Non

3,0 %

$262,915 Vol.

Non

2,0 %

$39,893 Vol.

Non

1,0 %

$47,224 Vol.

Non

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between February 24 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Volume
$1,100,397
Date de fin
Dec 31, 2025
Créé le
Feb 25, 2025, 4:29 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between February 24 and December 31, 2025. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Résultat proposé: Oui

Aucune contestation

Résultat final: Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Jusqu'où le rendement des Treasuries à 10 ans descendra-t-il en 2025 ?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "4,0 %" at 100%, followed by "3,9 %" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Jusqu'où le rendement des Treasuries à 10 ans descendra-t-il en 2025 ?" has generated $1.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 25, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Jusqu'où le rendement des Treasuries à 10 ans descendra-t-il en 2025 ?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Jusqu'où le rendement des Treasuries à 10 ans descendra-t-il en 2025 ?" is "4,0 %" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "3,9 %" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Jusqu'où le rendement des Treasuries à 10 ans descendra-t-il en 2025 ?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.