Name: Jusqu'où le rendement des bons du Trésor à 10 ans baissera-t-il avant 2027 ?
Start: 2025-11-12T23:04:11.976777Z
End: 2026-12-31T00:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).


4,0 %

3,0 %

1,0 %

3,7 %

3,9 %

3,5 %

2,0 %

3,6 %

3,8 %

Jusqu'où le rendement des bons du Trésor à 10 ans baissera-t-il avant 2027 ?

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship, currently scheduled for October 13, 2025, to February 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If the listed player is eliminated from the championship under the tournament's official rules, this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Chess.com, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used in case of discrepancies.

If the winner is not announced by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

Magnus Carlsen va-t-il gagner le Championnat d'Échecs rapide 2025–2026 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Krakow 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for January 28 - February 8, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL Gaming (https://pro.eslgaming.com/tour/cs/krakow/).

L'équipe Vitality va-t-elle gagner l'IEM Cracovie 2026 ?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the BLAST Bounty Winter 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for January 22 - 25, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, BLAST (https://blast.tv/cs/tournaments/bounty-2026-season-1).

Will Team Vitality win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team advances to the Round of 16 of the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated from finishing in the top 24 of the league phase), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2025–26 UEFA Champions League league phase is canceled or not completed by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source will be official information from UEFA. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Liverpool va-t-il se qualifier pour les huitièmes de finale ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate increase has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Hausse des taux de la BCE en 2026 ?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

L'Espagne remportera-t-elle la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026 ?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Baisse du taux de la BCE en 2026 ?

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

L'Allemagne va-t-elle gagner le Groupe E lors de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if all Italy, Bolivia, and DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for one of these teams to qualify for the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they cannot reach the required number of points to advance from their group or qualify for playoffs), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or the qualifying stage has not been completed by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be FIFA.  (https://www.fifa.com/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup).

Pari cumulatif : Outsiders des qualifications pour la Coupe du Monde FIFA 2026

This market will resolve according to the winner of the PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for February 14th - February 22nd, 2026.

If this tournament is postponed after February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, PGL Esports (https://www.pglesports.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/PGL/2026/Cluj-Napoca)

L'équipe Vitality va-t-elle gagner le PGL Cluj-Napoca 2026 ?

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be the ICC (https://www.icc-cricket.com/tournaments/mens-t20-world-cup-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

L’Inde va-t-elle gagner la Coupe du Monde ICC Masculine T20 2026 ?

This market will resolve to "Akave Esports Black" if Akave Esports Black win against KRÜ Blaze in the named Valorant match.

This market will resolve to "KRÜ Blaze" if KRÜ Blaze win against Akave Esports Black in the Valorant match.

If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed.

If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from liquipedia: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/Main_Page

Valorant: Akave Esports Black vs KRÜ Blaze (BO5)

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Les Pays-Bas vont-ils gagner le Groupe F lors de la Coupe du Monde de la FIFA 2026 ?

Wimbledon 2026 is scheduled for June 29 - July 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Wimbledon Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after August 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Wimbledon (https://www.wimbledon.com/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Amanda Anisimova sera-t-elle la gagnante du Wimbledon féminin 2026 ?

The Blast Bounty Winter 2026 Closed Qualifier is currently scheduled to take place from January 13 to 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the 8 teams that qualify for the BLAST Bounty Winter 2026 LAN Finals from the Closed Qualifier.

If the Blast Bounty Winter 2026 Closed Qualifier is postponed after January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared in this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other.” 

The resolution source for this market will be official information from BLAST (https://blast.tv); however, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/BLAST/Bounty/2026/Winter/Qualifier

L'équipe Team Spirit se qualifiera-t-elle pour le Blast Bounty Closed Qualifier ?

The ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is scheduled to begin on February 7, 2026. Four of the twenty competing teams will advance through the group stage and Super 8 stage to reach the semifinals.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed national team advances to the semifinals of the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to reach the semifinals of the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup based on the rules of the tournament (e.g., they are eliminated in the group stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

If the 2026 ICC T20 Men’s World Cup is permanently canceled or the tournament semifinalists are not definitively known by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be the ICC (https://www.icc-cricket.com/tournaments/mens-t20-world-cup-2026); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Jusqu'où le rendement des bons du Trésor à 10 ans baissera-t-il avant 2027 ?

4,0 %
$1,335 Vol.
74%

3,9 %
$764 Vol.
76%

3,8 %
$164 Vol.
72%

3,7 %
$18 Vol.
58%

3,6 %
$10 Vol.
31%

3,5 %
$330 Vol.
23%

3,0 %
$16 Vol.
15%

2,0 %
$132 Vol.
10%

1,0 %
$23,083 Vol.
5%

Contexte du Marché

Jusqu'où le rendement des bons du Trésor à 10 ans baissera-t-il avant 2027 ?

Règles

Jusqu'où le rendement des bons du Trésor à 10 ans baissera-t-il avant 2027 ?

Contexte du Marché

Jusqu'où le rendement des bons du Trésor à 10 ans baissera-t-il avant 2027 ?

À propos

Jusqu'où le rendement des bons du Trésor à 10 ans baissera-t-il avant 2027 ?

4,0 %$1,335 Vol.74%Acheter Oui97.6¢Acheter Non50.0¢

3,9 %$764 Vol.76%Acheter Oui91.0¢Acheter Non39.3¢

3,8 %$164 Vol.72%Acheter Oui89¢Acheter Non45¢

3,7 %$18 Vol.58%Acheter Oui90¢Acheter Non74¢

3,6 %$10 Vol.31%Acheter Oui50¢Acheter Non89¢

3,5 %$330 Vol.23%Acheter Oui39¢Acheter Non93¢

3,0 %$16 Vol.15%Acheter Oui24¢Acheter Non94¢

2,0 %$132 Vol.10%Acheter Oui14¢Acheter Non95¢

1,0 %$23,083 Vol.5%Acheter Oui7.6¢Acheter Non97.5¢

Contexte du Marché

Jusqu'où le rendement des bons du Trésor à 10 ans baissera-t-il avant 2027 ?

Règles

Jusqu'où le rendement des bons du Trésor à 10 ans baissera-t-il avant 2027 ?

Contexte du Marché

Jusqu'où le rendement des bons du Trésor à 10 ans baissera-t-il avant 2027 ?

À propos

4,0 %
$1,335 Vol.
74%

3,9 %
$764 Vol.
76%

3,8 %
$164 Vol.
72%

3,7 %
$18 Vol.
58%

3,6 %
$10 Vol.
31%

3,5 %
$330 Vol.
23%

3,0 %
$16 Vol.
15%

2,0 %
$132 Vol.
10%

1,0 %
$23,083 Vol.
5%