OpenAI's GPT-5.4 release on March 5, 2026, propelled its no-tools score on Humanity's Last Exam—a rigorous 2,500-question benchmark spanning frontier human knowledge—to 41.6%, exceeding 40% and driving strong trader consensus for success by June 30. This marks an 8% gain over GPT-5.2's 34.5% in two months, fueled by scaling laws and enhanced reasoning capabilities, as verified on leaderboards like Artificial Analysis. Competitors like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro at 44.7% intensify pressure, but OpenAI's rapid iteration signals potential for further gains via GPT-5.5 previews or fine-tunes. Traders eye resolution criteria, such as official no-tools evals, amid minimal downside risk given current standings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour50 %+
50%
$3,452 Vol.
50 %+
50%
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Marché ouvert : Jan 30, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.4 release on March 5, 2026, propelled its no-tools score on Humanity's Last Exam—a rigorous 2,500-question benchmark spanning frontier human knowledge—to 41.6%, exceeding 40% and driving strong trader consensus for success by June 30. This marks an 8% gain over GPT-5.2's 34.5% in two months, fueled by scaling laws and enhanced reasoning capabilities, as verified on leaderboards like Artificial Analysis. Competitors like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro at 44.7% intensify pressure, but OpenAI's rapid iteration signals potential for further gains via GPT-5.5 previews or fine-tunes. Traders eye resolution criteria, such as official no-tools evals, amid minimal downside risk given current standings.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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