20 min or more 99.8%
14-16 min <1%
10-12 min <1%
12-14 min <1%
$148,056 Vol.
$148,056 Vol.
Jan 20, 2025
20 min or more
$32,367 Vol.
Yes
18-20 min
$15,760 Vol.
No
16-18 min
$17,078 Vol.
No
14-16 min
$16,131 Vol.
No
12-14 min
$16,884 Vol.
No
10-12 min
$17,713 Vol.
No
8-10 min
$12,989 Vol.
No
<8 min
$19,135 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is less than 8 minutes in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his inaugural address until the moment he finishes his inaugural address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
The resolution source will be the live video of the event.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump's inaugural address is less than 8 minutes in length. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his inaugural address until the moment he finishes his inaugural address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
The resolution source will be the live video of the event.
If Donald Trump does not give an inauguration speech by January 21, 6:00 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
The speech length will be measured from the start of when Trump begins audibly speaking at the podium during his inaugural address until the moment he finishes his inaugural address. If Trump remains at the podium and continues speaking (e.g. saying "Thank you" to the crowd) this will not count toward the length of his address.
The resolution source will be the live video of the event.
Créé le : Jan 6, 2025, 9:09 PM ET
Volume
$148,056Date de fin
Jan 20, 2025Créé le
Jan 6, 2025, 9:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
20 min or more 99.8%
14-16 min <1%
10-12 min <1%
12-14 min <1%
$148,056 Vol.
$148,056 Vol.
Jan 20, 2025
20 min or more
$32,367 Vol.
Yes
18-20 min
$15,760 Vol.
No
16-18 min
$17,078 Vol.
No
14-16 min
$16,131 Vol.
No
12-14 min
$16,884 Vol.
No
10-12 min
$17,713 Vol.
No
8-10 min
$12,989 Vol.
No
<8 min
$19,135 Vol.
No
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Frequently Asked Questions
"How long will the Trump's inaugural address be?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "20 min or more" at 100%, followed by "18-20 min" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.
As of today, "How long will the Trump's inaugural address be?" has generated $148.1K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 7, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.
To trade on "How long will the Trump's inaugural address be?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.
The current frontrunner for "How long will the Trump's inaugural address be?" is "20 min or more" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "18-20 min" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.
The resolution rules for "How long will the Trump's inaugural address be?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.

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Frequently Asked Questions