Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100% implied probability) for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching 22°C or higher on March 28, driven by official hourly observations from China Meteorological Administration stations, including Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded midday peaks above 22°C under hazy sunshine and light southerly winds. A stable high-pressure ridge over central China has suppressed clouds, enhancing solar heating beyond March climatological averages of 16–18°C highs, consistent with the ongoing regional warm spell. Ensemble forecast models from AccuWeather align with peaks near 23–24°C. With the day advanced, realistic challenges like an abrupt cold front or station data revisions are improbable, pending final evening reports.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on March 28?
22°C or higher 100.0%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$81,303 Vol.
$81,303 Vol.
18°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
22°C or higher
100%
22°C or higher 100.0%
18°C <1%
20°C <1%
$81,303 Vol.
$81,303 Vol.
18°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
22°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:08 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100% implied probability) for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching 22°C or higher on March 28, driven by official hourly observations from China Meteorological Administration stations, including Wuhan Tianhe International Airport, which recorded midday peaks above 22°C under hazy sunshine and light southerly winds. A stable high-pressure ridge over central China has suppressed clouds, enhancing solar heating beyond March climatological averages of 16–18°C highs, consistent with the ongoing regional warm spell. Ensemble forecast models from AccuWeather align with peaks near 23–24°C. With the day advanced, realistic challenges like an abrupt cold front or station data revisions are improbable, pending final evening reports.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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