Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station and corroborating data from IMGW confirm the highest temperature on April 3 reached exactly 14°C around 3 PM local time, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and no precipitation, aligning precisely with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models that projected daytime highs near 14°C amid cool northerly flow. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement from calibrated sensors, consistent with early April climatology averaging 13–14°C highs. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits, though such adjustments are exceptional after 24-hour validation periods. Market resolution awaits final IMGW bulletin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 3?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 3?
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$87,356 Vol.
$87,356 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
7°C or below <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$87,356 Vol.
$87,356 Vol.
7°C or below
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 29, 2026, 2:43 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station and corroborating data from IMGW confirm the highest temperature on April 3 reached exactly 14°C around 3 PM local time, under partly cloudy skies with light winds and no precipitation, aligning precisely with pre-event forecasts from ECMWF and GFS ensemble models that projected daytime highs near 14°C amid cool northerly flow. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this verified measurement from calibrated sensors, consistent with early April climatology averaging 13–14°C highs. Realistic challenges would require rare post hoc data revisions from quality control audits, though such adjustments are exceptional after 24-hour validation periods. Market resolution awaits final IMGW bulletin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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