Market icon

Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?

Market icon

Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

11°C 44%

10°C 22%

12°C 21%

9°C 10%

Polymarket

$28,262 Vol.

11°C 44%

10°C 22%

12°C 21%

9°C 10%

Polymarket

$28,262 Vol.

7°C or below

$7,073 Vol.

<1%

8°C

$1,294 Vol.

1%

9°C

$2,151 Vol.

10%

10°C

$2,981 Vol.

22%

11°C

$2,945 Vol.

44%

12°C

$3,107 Vol.

21%

13°C

$2,015 Vol.

5%

14°C

$1,433 Vol.

1%

15°C

$1,583 Vol.

<1%

16°C

$1,453 Vol.

<1%

17°C or higher

$2,240 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models show a consensus high temperature near 11°C in Paris on March 28, driven by a persistent low-pressure system over northern Europe funneling cool Atlantic air and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observational data from the past 48 hours confirm below-average temperatures, with Paris highs in the 8-10°C range amid ongoing showers, aligning trader sentiment where 11°C holds a 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 10°C (21.5%) and 12°C (20.5%). Climatological norms for late March hover around 12°C, but current jet stream positioning favors subdued warmth; new model runs expected daily could refine these odds as resolution nears.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$28,262
Date de fin
Mar 28, 2026
Marché ouvert
Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models show a consensus high temperature near 11°C in Paris on March 28, driven by a persistent low-pressure system over northern Europe funneling cool Atlantic air and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observational data from the past 48 hours confirm below-average temperatures, with Paris highs in the 8-10°C range amid ongoing showers, aligning trader sentiment where 11°C holds a 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 10°C (21.5%) and 12°C (20.5%). Climatological norms for late March hover around 12°C, but current jet stream positioning favors subdued warmth; new model runs expected daily could refine these odds as resolution nears.

Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and Météo-France models show a consensus high temperature near 11°C in Paris on March 28, driven by a persistent low-pressure system over northern Europe funneling cool Atlantic air and cloudy conditions that suppress daytime heating. Recent observational data from the past 48 hours confirm below-average temperatures, with Paris highs in the 8-10°C range amid ongoing showers, aligning trader sentiment where 11°C holds a 43.5% implied probability, followed closely by 10°C (21.5%) and 12°C (20.5%). Climatological norms for late March hover around 12°C, but current jet stream positioning favors subdued warmth; new model runs expected daily could refine these odds as resolution nears.

Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Highest temperature in Paris on March 28? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 11 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 11°C » à 45%, suivi de « 10°C » à 22%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Highest temperature in Paris on March 28? » a généré $28.3K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Mar 24, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Highest temperature in Paris on March 28? », parcourez les 11 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Highest temperature in Paris on March 28? » est « 11°C » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 10°C » à 22%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Highest temperature in Paris on March 28? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.