Latest Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Paris's highest temperature on March 28 at around 11°C, driving trader consensus to price it at 53% implied probability amid a late-March cold snap ushering Arctic air across Europe. Persistent cloud cover and showers from this northerly airflow have suppressed diurnal highs to 1–2°C below the late-March climatological average of 12–13°C, as evidenced by observational data from the past week showing similar cool, unsettled conditions. While partial clearing could nudge toward 12°C (14.5%), current guidance emphasizes overcast skies limiting solar heating; official hourly updates from Paris-Montsouris observatory through evening will refine resolution against these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on March 28?
Highest temperature in Paris on March 28?
11°C 60%
10°C 24%
12°C 16%
9°C 4.0%
$63,961 Vol.
$63,961 Vol.
8°C
<1%
9°C
4%
10°C
24%
11°C
56%
12°C
16%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
11°C 60%
10°C 24%
12°C 16%
9°C 4.0%
$63,961 Vol.
$63,961 Vol.
8°C
<1%
9°C
4%
10°C
24%
11°C
56%
12°C
16%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Météo-France forecasts and ensemble model runs from ECMWF and GFS project Paris's highest temperature on March 28 at around 11°C, driving trader consensus to price it at 53% implied probability amid a late-March cold snap ushering Arctic air across Europe. Persistent cloud cover and showers from this northerly airflow have suppressed diurnal highs to 1–2°C below the late-March climatological average of 12–13°C, as evidenced by observational data from the past week showing similar cool, unsettled conditions. While partial clearing could nudge toward 12°C (14.5%), current guidance emphasizes overcast skies limiting solar heating; official hourly updates from Paris-Montsouris observatory through evening will refine resolution against these thresholds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes