National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on March 26 project highs reaching 68–72°F, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge ushering mild southerly winds and above-normal temperatures, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher. Ensemble model consensus from GFS and European Center runs shows minimal spread, with initialized temperatures well above the threshold amid climatological March averages around 52°F. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data-backed confidence, as no cold air outbreaks appear in guidance. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated coastal front or marine inversion capping highs below 66°F, though current soundings and forecast soundings indicate dry, stable conditions minimizing such risks; next model updates expected overnight could refine details.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on March 26?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 26?
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$188,401 Vol.
$188,401 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
Yes
66°F or higher 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$188,401 Vol.
$188,401 Vol.
Mar 26, 2026
47°F or below
$15,659 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$14,215 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$19,223 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$9,379 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$7,582 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$8,699 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$31,588 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$16,652 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$24,842 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$40,561 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on March 26 project highs reaching 68–72°F, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge ushering mild southerly winds and above-normal temperatures, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher. Ensemble model consensus from GFS and European Center runs shows minimal spread, with initialized temperatures well above the threshold amid climatological March averages around 52°F. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data-backed confidence, as no cold air outbreaks appear in guidance. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated coastal front or marine inversion capping highs below 66°F, though current soundings and forecast soundings indicate dry, stable conditions minimizing such risks; next model updates expected overnight could refine details.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Volume
$188,401Date de fin
Mar 26, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on March 26 project highs reaching 68–72°F, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge ushering mild southerly winds and above-normal temperatures, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher. Ensemble model consensus from GFS and European Center runs shows minimal spread, with initialized temperatures well above the threshold amid climatological March averages around 52°F. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data-backed confidence, as no cold air outbreaks appear in guidance. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated coastal front or marine inversion capping highs below 66°F, though current soundings and forecast soundings indicate dry, stable conditions minimizing such risks; next model updates expected overnight could refine details.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$188,401Date de fin
Mar 26, 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 22, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on March 26 project highs reaching 68–72°F, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge ushering mild southerly winds and above-normal temperatures, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for 66°F or higher. Ensemble model consensus from GFS and European Center runs shows minimal spread, with initialized temperatures well above the threshold amid climatological March averages around 52°F. Trader sentiment reflects this strong data-backed confidence, as no cold air outbreaks appear in guidance. Realistic challenges include an unanticipated coastal front or marine inversion capping highs below 66°F, though current soundings and forecast soundings indicate dry, stable conditions minimizing such risks; next model updates expected overnight could refine details.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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